Nancal Technology Co (603859) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 12.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price −4.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥19.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥13.64 – ¥58.59 · fair‑value band ¥11.76 – ¥19.59 · the ¥42.56 price screens above the ¥15.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Nancal Technology Co (603859) currently trades at ¥42.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.67, implying the stock looks roughly 63.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nancal Technology Co generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of 14.8%. Revenue declined 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 300M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥11.76 (bear case) to ¥19.59 (bull case); at ¥42.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -63%, 603859 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥18.42) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.7500). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nancal Technology Co.,Ltd provides digital transformation solutions in China and internationally. It offers cloud products and services, such as technical tools, enterprise applications, business microservices, and Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud services.
Full company description
Nancal Technology Co.,Ltd provides digital transformation solutions in China and internationally. It offers cloud products and services, such as technical tools, enterprise applications, business microservices, and Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud services. The company also provides smart manufacturing services and products, including strategic planning and consulting services, simulation and testing services, test bench products, digital factory services, process automation services, ERP solutions, Internet enterprise informatization services, and IT software technology outsourcing services. In addition, it offers software systems and services in local deployment, as well as full-process system services, including business consulting, solution design, software application and customization, software system integration, online debugging, personnel training and operation, and maintenance. Further the company offers industrial engineering and industrial electrical products and services comprising digital manufacturing assembly lines, digital twin test benches; and smart electrical products, such as high-power high-voltage inverters, engineering inverters, soft starters, shore power supplies, power quality products, and energy management systems. It provides its products and services to central enterprises and heavy industries, semiconductor electronics, automobiles and rail transit, equipment manufacturing, energy and infrastructure, new energy, and other industries. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nancal Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥1.1B in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥226M in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.
603859 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 580,000 KRW | 497,919 KRW | -14% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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