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Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. ¥1.03, price ¥10.19, upside -89.9%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · CN · ISIN CNE1000052G8

JF Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd.

605300 · SHG

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥1.03 · Strongly overvalued (−90%)

!Quality 30/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.8 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 2.0% net margin (TTM)

!negative free cash flow

·0.69% dividend yield

!Trails peers (0/12)

!Narrow moat 23/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 7 out of 100

!Weak on dividend: 14 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear ¥0.8925 to bull ¥1.22 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 30/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.57 – ¥31.51 · fair‑value band ¥0.8925 – ¥1.22 · the ¥10.19 price screens above the ¥1.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Jiahe Foods Industry Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of food ingredients in China and internationally.

Jiahe Foods Industry Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of food ingredients in China and internationally. It offers original, organic oat, flavored and functional oat milk; crystal flower powder oil, plant protein and solid beverage, and syrup series; coffee liquid, coffee grounds, and coffee beans, as well as glucose, malt syrup, and flavored sugar. In addition, the company offers stone ground tofu pudding, osmanthus jelly, coconut jelly, osmanthus ice powder, and burn the grass jelly products; milk tea and liquid milk base. Its products are used in catering channels, such as beverage shop, cafe, bread dessert, hot pot, western and buffet, and other meals; and industrial channels that include milk drink and other beverages, solid drink, candy chocolate, healthy products, condiments and convenience foods, and other industries. The company was formerly known as Suzhou Jiahe Foods Industry Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Jiahe Foods Industry Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Suzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300) currently trades at ¥10.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.03, implying the stock looks roughly 890.1% overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥4.23 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥10.19 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.6200, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.8925 (bear) to ¥1.22 (bull), the price of ¥10.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 2.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was 30.8M CNY in FY2025, compounding −32.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 4.6B CNY (≈ $691M) · P/E ratio 101.9 · P/S ratio 1.39 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1000 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −90%, 605300 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.8925 Fair Value ¥1.03 Bull ¥1.22

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0219 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

Residual Income ¥4.10 ¥3.80 ¥2.56 74

Owner Earnings ¥1.58 ¥1.81 ¥2.10 73

EPV ¥1.00 ¥1.02 ¥1.04 70

All 15 models by family

DCF Models

Owner Earnings ¥1.58 ¥1.81 ¥2.10 73

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd ¥0.4600 ¥0.9400 ¥1.18 64

EPV ¥1.00 ¥1.02 ¥1.04 70

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM ¥0.4600 ¥0.6300 ¥0.7800 67

DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.4600 ¥0.6200 ¥0.7700 65

Multiples

P/E Multiple ¥1.07 ¥1.42 ¥1.78 63

P/S Multiple ¥0.8600 ¥1.15 ¥1.44 58

P/B Multiple ¥0.8600 ¥1.15 ¥1.44 55

EV/EBIT ¥1.32 ¥1.48 ¥1.64 63

EV/EBITDA ¥3.09 ¥3.84 ¥4.58 64

EV/Revenue ¥1.19 ¥1.33 ¥1.48 52

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ¥3.16 ¥4.23 ¥6.31 51

Economic Profit

Residual Income ¥4.10 ¥3.80 ¥2.56 74

ROIC Compounder ¥1.00 ¥1.02 ¥1.04 68

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.7800 ¥1.11 ¥1.44 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 23

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 12

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 6

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 71

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 68

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 78

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 27

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 16

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 18

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 28/100

Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Revenue growth 1 year

−2.4%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−2.4%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+3.8%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+6.1%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

−34.6%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−35.3%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−35% vs −30%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 1%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.5%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

605300 screens 890% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 666 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/12 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −90% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median

Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −3% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 101.9× · Priciest 25%

P/B 1.66× · Pricier than median

P/S (TTM) 2.12× · Priciest 25%

EV/EBITDA 43.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 30

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20

PAST (return on equity)7 · sector 29

HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96

DIVIDEND (yield)14 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN	CHF 77.09	CHF 59.49	−23%
Danone S.A BN	€60.14	€50.81	−16%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC	$23.79	$29.20	+23%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288	¥34.29	¥37.72	+10%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND	₹1,387	₹724.74	−48%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887	¥26.77	¥41.84	+56%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999	¥25.12	¥9.98	−60%
General Mills, Inc GIS	$35.82	$34.66	−3%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216	74.50 TWD	68.72 TWD	−8%
McCormick & Company MKC	$49.09	$51.01	+4%

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Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. · Fair Value
¥1.03 −890%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605300" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">¥1.03</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−890%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605300

Frequently asked questions

Is Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.03 versus a price of ¥10.19, about −90% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 605300?

Our model-based fair value for Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. is ¥1.03 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥10.19.

What is the quality score of 605300?

Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.03 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.8925, optimistic scenario ¥1.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ¥1.03, about −90% upside versus a price of ¥10.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.8925, optimistic scenario ¥1.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300)?

Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

Does Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?

Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. it is ¥1.03 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥10.19. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, 605300 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥10.19, fair value ¥1.03, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 605300?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥10.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.03). For Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. the two are ¥9.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. worth?

The market values Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. at about 4.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥10.19; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.03 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 605300?

Our models span a range for Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥0.8925, base ¥1.03, optimistic ¥1.22 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥10.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 605300?

Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 101.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥1.03 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 43.1.

How solid is the balance sheet of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300)?

Balance-sheet figures for Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 605300 from its 52-week high?

Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. trades at ¥10.19, about 20% below its 52-week high of ¥12.72 and 19% above the low of ¥8.57 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.03 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd.?

From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥10.19, calculated fair value ¥1.03 (−90%), Quality Score 30/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 605300 calculated?

We run Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.03, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300)?

The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥10.19. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.03, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300)?

The market capitalisation of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. is 4.6B CNY (≈ $691M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. is 1.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300)?

Earnings per share at Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. are ¥0.1000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 101.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300)?

The dividend yield of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. is 0.7% (payout 70.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300)?

The net margin of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. is 1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300)?

The operating margin of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300)?

Revenue at Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. is growing −3.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300)?

Earnings per share at Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. are growing +300% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300) generate?

The free cash flow of Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. is −108M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. (605300) hold?

Jiahe Foods Industry Co. Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 266M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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