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Jiahe Foods Industry Co (605300) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 4.2B CNY

JF Jiahe Foods Industry Co 605300 · SHG
Price¥9.71
Fair Value¥1.03
Upside-89.4%
Quality30/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
0.77% dividend yield
Trails peers (1/12)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.8925 – ¥1.22 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +9.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥31.76 ¥8.61 Fair Value ¥1.03 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.61 – ¥31.76 · fair‑value band ¥0.8925 – ¥1.22 · the ¥9.71 price screens above the ¥1.03 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiahe Foods Industry Co (605300) currently trades at ¥9.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.03, implying the stock looks roughly 89.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiahe Foods Industry Co generated revenue of 2.2B CNY at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue declined 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 266M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.8925 (bear case) to ¥1.22 (bull case); at ¥9.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -89%, 605300 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥4.28 ¥4.03 ¥2.90 76
Gordon GGM ¥0.5200 ¥0.7500 ¥0.9700 70
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.7800 ¥1.11 ¥1.44 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥1.65 ¥1.95 ¥2.37 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.4600 ¥0.9400 ¥1.18 54
EPV ¥1.02 ¥1.05 ¥1.07 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.5200 ¥0.7500 ¥0.9700 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.5200 ¥0.7300 ¥0.9500 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.07 ¥1.42 ¥1.78 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.8600 ¥1.15 ¥1.44 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.8600 ¥1.15 ¥1.44 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.32 ¥1.48 ¥1.64 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.09 ¥3.84 ¥4.58 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.19 ¥1.33 ¥1.48 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.16 ¥4.23 ¥6.31 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.28 ¥4.03 ¥2.90 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.02 ¥1.05 ¥1.07 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.7800 ¥1.11 ¥1.44 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥4.23) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.7300). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.0%
Net margin 2.0%
Return on equity 1.7%
Free cash flow −108M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 92.1
More key figures
Operating margin 2.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1000
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +300%
Net cash 266M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 18
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiahe Foods Industry Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of food ingredients in China and internationally. It offers original, organic oat, flavored and functional oat milk; crystal flower powder oil, plant protein and solid beverage, and syrup series; coffee liquid, coffee grounds, and coffee beans, as well as glucose, malt syrup, and flavored …

Full company description

Jiahe Foods Industry Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of food ingredients in China and internationally. It offers original, organic oat, flavored and functional oat milk; crystal flower powder oil, plant protein and solid beverage, and syrup series; coffee liquid, coffee grounds, and coffee beans, as well as glucose, malt syrup, and flavored sugar. In addition, the company offers stone ground tofu pudding, osmanthus jelly, coconut jelly, osmanthus ice powder, and burn the grass jelly products; milk tea and liquid milk base. Its products are used in catering channels, such as beverage shop, cafe, bread dessert, hot pot, western and buffet, and other meals; and industrial channels that include milk drink and other beverages, solid drink, candy chocolate, healthy products, condiments and convenience foods, and other industries. The company was formerly known as Suzhou Jiahe Foods Industry Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Jiahe Foods Industry Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Suzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiahe Foods Industry Co reported revenue of ¥2.3B in FY2025 versus ¥2.4B in FY2021, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥30.8M in FY2025, compounding −32.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 28/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.3B CNY
Latest YoY
−2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+6.1%
Revenue −1.5%/yr
FY21 ¥2.4B
FY22 ¥2.4B
FY23 ¥2.8B
FY24 ¥2.3B
FY25 ¥2.3B
Net income −32.8%/yr
FY21 ¥151M
FY22 ¥115M
FY23 ¥258M
FY24 ¥83.9M
FY25 ¥30.8M

605300 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiahe Foods Industry Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605300

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth -3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 92.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.46× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 37.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 7 · sector 27
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 15 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiahe Foods Industry Co (605300) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.03 versus a price of ¥9.71, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 605300?
Our model-based fair value for Jiahe Foods Industry Co is ¥1.03 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥9.71.
What is the quality score of 605300?
Jiahe Foods Industry Co has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiahe Foods Industry Co (605300)?
Jiahe Foods Industry Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 605300?
The net profit margin of Jiahe Foods Industry Co is about 2.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jiahe Foods Industry Co pay a dividend?
Jiahe Foods Industry Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.77% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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