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Bank of Jiujiang Co (6190) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$6.5B

BO Bank of Jiujiang Co 6190 · HK
PriceHK$3.00
Fair ValueHK$4.25
Upside+41.7%
Quality55/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.43% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: High Range HK$3.19 – HK$5.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from HK$4.58 to HK$4.25 (−7.2%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price +11.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 42% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$3.19). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$10.28 HK$1.53 Fair Value HK$4.25 Jul 2018 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.53 – HK$10.28 · fair‑value band HK$3.19 – HK$5.31 · the HK$3.00 price screens below the HK$4.25 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Bank of Jiujiang Co (6190) currently trades at HK$3.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.25, implying the stock looks roughly 41.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Bank of Jiujiang Co generated revenue of HK$4.6B at a net margin of 18.3%. Revenue declined 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. Net debt stands at HK$53.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$3.19 (bear case) to HK$5.31 (bull case); at HK$3.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 42%, 6190 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$10.96 HK$10.54 HK$8.43 76
Gordon GGM HK$1.97 HK$3.93 HK$5.95 70
P/E Multiple HK$3.60 HK$4.80 HK$6.00 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.97 HK$3.93 HK$5.95 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.97 HK$3.40 HK$4.15 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$3.60 HK$4.80 HK$6.00 63
P/B Multiple HK$4.71 HK$6.28 HK$7.85 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$7.78 HK$10.43 HK$15.57 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$10.96 HK$10.54 HK$8.43 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (HK$10.54) versus Dividend Discount (HK$3.40). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$4.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.8%
Net margin 18.3%
Return on equity 1.9%
Free cash flow HK$7.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 11.5
More key figures
Operating margin 32.6%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.3000
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.0%
Net debt HK$53.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 51
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bank of Jiujiang Co., Ltd. provides various banking products and services for individual customers, corporations, government agencies, and financial institutions in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Corporate Banking, Retail Banking, and Financial Market Business segments.

Full company description

Bank of Jiujiang Co., Ltd. provides various banking products and services for individual customers, corporations, government agencies, and financial institutions in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Corporate Banking, Retail Banking, and Financial Market Business segments. The company offers corporate and personal loans, trade financing, depositing sproducts, granting short-term, medium-term and long-term loans, and other types of corporate and personal intermediary services; and card and personal wealth management services. It also conducts money market or repurchase transactions, and financial investments. In addition, the company provides domestic and overseas settlements, bill acceptance and discounting, government bonds and financial bonds trading, inter-bank placement, letters of credit and guarantee, insurance agency, and safe-box services. Further, the company issues financial bonds; sells securities investment funds and other products; and acts as an agent to issue, settle, and underwrite government bonds, as well as for inward and outward payments. The company was formerly known as Jiujiang Commercial Bank and changed its name to Bank of Jiujiang Co., Ltd. in September 2008. Bank of Jiujiang Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Chaisang, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bank of Jiujiang Co reported revenue of HK$17.6B in FY2025 versus HK$5.1B in FY2021, a compound +36.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$806M in FY2025, compounding −17.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$17.6B
Latest YoY
+305.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+49.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.6%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.6%
Revenue +36.5%/yr
FY21 HK$5.1B
FY22 HK$5.3B
FY23 HK$4.3B
FY24 HK$4.3B
FY25 HK$17.6B
Net income −17.4%/yr
FY21 HK$1.7B
FY22 HK$1.6B
FY23 HK$724M
FY24 HK$744M
FY25 HK$806M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −13.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.4 pp

of which total revenue +7.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.1 pp

EBIT margin −22.8 pp
Tax rate +2.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +5.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bank of Jiujiang Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6190

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside +42% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 33% · Below median
Revenue growth -3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.15× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.41× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 89 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 8 · sector 41
HEALTH 93 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bank of Jiujiang Co (6190) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$4.25 versus a price of HK$3.00, about +42% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 6190?
Our model-based fair value for Bank of Jiujiang Co is HK$4.25 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$3.00.
What is the quality score of 6190?
Bank of Jiujiang Co has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bank of Jiujiang Co (6190)?
Bank of Jiujiang Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$4.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 6190?
The net profit margin of Bank of Jiujiang Co is about 18.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Bank of Jiujiang Co pay a dividend?
Bank of Jiujiang Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.43% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 7, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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