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Taiwan Alpha Electronic Co (6204) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TW · Market cap 1.7B TWD

TA Taiwan Alpha Electronic Co 6204 · TWO
Price80.90 TWD
Fair Value23.63 TWD
Upside-70.8%
Quality66/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 5.9% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range 17.72 TWD – 29.53 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −17.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 71% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (29.53 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

162.00 TWD 42.25 TWD Fair Value 23.63 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 42.25 TWD – 162.00 TWD · fair‑value band 17.72 TWD – 29.53 TWD · the 80.90 TWD price screens above the 23.63 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Taiwan Alpha Electronic Co (6204) currently trades at 80.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 23.63 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 70.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Taiwan Alpha Electronic Co generated revenue of 387M TWD at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue declined 10.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 136M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 17.72 TWD (bear case) to 29.53 TWD (bull case); at 80.90 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -71%, 6204 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 12.03 TWD 12.48 TWD 12.79 TWD 76
Growth DCF 20.31 TWD 23.87 TWD 29.39 TWD 72
Gordon GGM 2.33 TWD 2.51 TWD 2.78 TWD 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 19.90 TWD 23.66 TWD 29.97 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 19.56 TWD 23.22 TWD 29.35 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 19.65 TWD 24.90 TWD 32.51 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 23.43 TWD 31.44 TWD 42.03 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 21.48 TWD 28.06 TWD 35.92 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 19.40 TWD 23.04 TWD 26.91 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 21.78 TWD 26.74 TWD 32.01 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 20.70 TWD 24.83 TWD 28.74 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8.03 TWD 9.82 TWD 11.05 TWD 54
EPV 16.31 TWD 17.50 TWD 18.50 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2.33 TWD 2.51 TWD 2.78 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.33 TWD 2.78 TWD 3.35 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 17.72 TWD 23.63 TWD 29.53 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 15.06 TWD 20.08 TWD 25.10 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 15.06 TWD 20.08 TWD 25.10 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 26.79 TWD 33.22 TWD 39.64 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 29.31 TWD 36.57 TWD 43.83 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 20.51 TWD 26.08 TWD 31.65 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 7.78 TWD 10.43 TWD 15.57 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 20.31 TWD 23.87 TWD 29.39 TWD 72
Rev-Margin DCF 19.65 TWD 25.22 TWD 32.08 TWD 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 12.03 TWD 12.48 TWD 12.79 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 16.31 TWD 17.69 TWD 19.07 TWD 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 12.54 TWD 17.91 TWD 23.28 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (24.83 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (2.51 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 383M TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.2%
Net margin 5.9%
Return on equity 6.4%
Free cash flow 35.2M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 62.4
More key figures
Operating margin 5.5%
EPS (TTM) 1.18 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) -67.8%
Net cash 136M TWD FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 23
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Taiwan Alpha Electronic Co., Ltd. provides electronic components and sensor solutions in Taiwan. It offers printed membrane sensors, such as stretch, force, insole pressure, bending detection, position, and force + position sensors, as well as pressure sensor arrays, sensor kits, and force-sensing resistor foils.

Full company description

Taiwan Alpha Electronic Co., Ltd. provides electronic components and sensor solutions in Taiwan. It offers printed membrane sensors, such as stretch, force, insole pressure, bending detection, position, and force + position sensors, as well as pressure sensor arrays, sensor kits, and force-sensing resistor foils. The company also provides rotary and slide potentiometers; switches; and encoders. Its products are used in rehab, health and fitness, gaming, industry and logistics, lighting, automotive, home appliance, and pro audio applications. Taiwan Alpha Electronic Co., Ltd. was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Taiwan Alpha Electronic Co reported revenue of 387M TWD in FY2025 versus 623M TWD in FY2021, a compound −11.2%/yr. Reported net income was 27.3M TWD in FY2025, compounding −44.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
387M TWD
Latest YoY
+0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.7%
Revenue −11.2%/yr
FY21 623M TWD
FY22 392M TWD
FY23 378M TWD
FY24 386M TWD
FY25 387M TWD
Net income −44.5%/yr
FY21 287M TWD
FY22 21.2M TWD
FY23 414M TWD
FY24 34.2M TWD
FY25 27.3M TWD

6204 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Taiwan Alpha Electronic Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6204

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 625 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 62.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.73× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 34.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 26 · sector 24
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Taiwan Alpha Electronic Co (6204) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 23.63 TWD versus a price of 80.90 TWD, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6204?
Our model-based fair value for Taiwan Alpha Electronic Co is 23.63 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 80.90 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6204?
Taiwan Alpha Electronic Co has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Taiwan Alpha Electronic Co (6204)?
Taiwan Alpha Electronic Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 387M TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 6204?
The net profit margin of Taiwan Alpha Electronic Co is about 7.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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