APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of APAQ Technology Co Ltd TWD 134, price TWD 210, upside -36.0%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 38.15 TWD – 463.00 TWD · fair‑value band 72.50 TWD – 219.08 TWD · the 209.50 TWD price screens above the 134.15 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Apaq Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of electronic components in Taiwan, Asia, and internationally.
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Apaq Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of electronic components in Taiwan, Asia, and internationally. It offers conductive polymer aluminum electrolytic and solid capacitors; conductive polymer hybrid aluminum electrolytic capacitors; chip-type capacitors; wafer capacitors; and organic semiconductor solid-state capacitors. Apaq Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Miaoli, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449) currently trades at 209.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 134.15 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 56.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 168.52 TWD per share, and 4 of the 26 models we run sit above the 209.50 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 35.38 TWD, and 22 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 72.50 TWD (bear) to 219.08 TWD (bull), the price of 209.50 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
APAQ Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 4.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was 622M TWD in FY2025, compounding +19.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 23.3B TWD (≈ $732M) · P/E ratio 28.9 · P/S ratio 4.02 · EPS (TTM) 7.25 TWD · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 13.9% · Return on equity 13.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −66% fair-value upside, at −36%, 6449 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 72.50 TWDFair Value 134.15 TWDBull 219.08 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.23 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+28.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.9% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+22.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.20% vs 10%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 19%
2025 sits 95% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+66.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +64.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 654 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−36% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)28.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B4.86× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)4.96× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF7.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA18.7× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 39
PAST (return on equity)54· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)40· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "APAQ Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6449
Frequently asked questions
Is APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 134.15 TWD versus a price of 209.50 TWD, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6449?
Our model-based fair value for APAQ Technology Co Ltd is 134.15 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 209.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6449?
APAQ Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 134.15 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 72.50 TWD, optimistic scenario 219.08 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the APAQ Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 134.15 TWD, about −36% upside versus a price of 209.50 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 72.50 TWD, optimistic scenario 219.08 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
APAQ Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.7B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does APAQ Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
APAQ Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.00% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, APAQ Technology Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +66.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6449 use?
Our models discount APAQ Technology Co Ltd at 13.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.42, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For APAQ Technology Co Ltd that is +66.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at APAQ Technology Co Ltd grew +13.4 % a year. The price currently implies +66.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into APAQ Technology Co Ltd (+66.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.53 %: that much free cash flow APAQ Technology Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For APAQ Technology Co Ltd it is 134.15 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 209.50 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is APAQ Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 6449 trades above its calculated fair value: price 209.50 TWD, fair value 134.15 TWD, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6449?
No. The price is what the market pays today (209.50 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (134.15 TWD). For APAQ Technology Co Ltd the two are 75.35 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is APAQ Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values APAQ Technology Co Ltd at about 23.3B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 209.50 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 134.15 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6449?
Our models span a range for APAQ Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario 72.50 TWD, base 134.15 TWD, optimistic 219.08 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 209.50 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6449?
APAQ Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 134.15 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.9, P/S 5.0, EV/EBITDA 18.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
Balance-sheet figures for APAQ Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6449 from its 52-week high?
APAQ Technology Co Ltd trades at 209.50 TWD, about 55% below its 52-week high of 463.00 TWD and 42% above the low of 147.50 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 134.15 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to APAQ Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is APAQ Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 209.50 TWD, calculated fair value 134.15 TWD (−36%), Quality Score 57/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6449 calculated?
We run APAQ Technology Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 134.15 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. APAQ Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 209.50 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 134.15 TWD, about −36% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with APAQ Technology Co Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (72.50 TWD to 219.08 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449) come from?
Earnings per share at APAQ Technology Co Ltd grew +7.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.7 %, EBIT margin −0.3 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of APAQ Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
The market capitalisation of APAQ Technology Co Ltd is 23.3B TWD (≈ $732M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
The price-to-sales ratio of APAQ Technology Co Ltd is 4.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
Earnings per share at APAQ Technology Co Ltd are 7.25 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
The dividend yield of APAQ Technology Co Ltd is 2.0% (payout 57.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
The net margin of APAQ Technology Co Ltd is 13.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
The return on equity (ROE) of APAQ Technology Co Ltd is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of APAQ Technology Co Ltd is 8.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
The operating margin of APAQ Technology Co Ltd is 19.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
Revenue at APAQ Technology Co Ltd is growing +24.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449)?
Earnings per share at APAQ Technology Co Ltd are growing +35.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does APAQ Technology Co Ltd (6449) carry?
The net debt of APAQ Technology Co Ltd is 753M TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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