Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd (6868) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd HK$2.78, price HK$2.62, upside +6.1%, quality 71 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd
6868 · HKNeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.42 – HK$4.72 · fair‑value band HK$2.08 – HK$3.47 · the HK$2.62 price screens below the HK$2.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a traditional Chinese tea-product company. The company operates through Tea Leaves, Tea Snacks, and Tea Ware segments. It sells and markets various tea products; and develops product concepts, tastes, and packaging designs.
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Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a traditional Chinese tea-product company. The company operates through Tea Leaves, Tea Snacks, and Tea Ware segments. It sells and markets various tea products; and develops product concepts, tastes, and packaging designs. The company offers 1,300 varieties of traditional Chinese tea-leaf products; 300 varieties of tea snacks; and tea ware. It sells its products primarily under the Tenfu, Tenfu Ten Xin, and Uncle Lee brands. The company sells tea products in retail outlets and retail points, autonomous regions, and municipalities in the People's Republic of China, which include stores with shopfronts at street level; and shopping malls and concession counters in department stores and hypermarkets. The company also involved in the classification and packaging of tea leaves; provides tea drinks, including milk tea; manufacture and sale of tea snacks; catering management; beverage production; sale of pre-packaged food; sale of liquor and tea drink; property management activities; and provision of hotel, restaurant, tourist, and ticket sales from tea museums, and other ancillary services. Further, the company sells tea leaves, tea snacks, and tea ware through internet. Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Xiamen, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd (6868) currently trades at HK$2.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.78, implying the stock looks roughly 5.8% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$3.36 per share, and 12 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$2.62 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.7800, and 12 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$2.08 (bear) to HK$3.47 (bull), the price of HK$2.62 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −8.9%/yr. Reported net income was 123M CNY in FY2025, compounding −23.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$2.8B (≈ $362M) · P/E ratio 20.6 · P/S ratio 1.90 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0400 · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin 9.2% · Return on equity 6.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 6%, 6868 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 668 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
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| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 77.94 | CHF 59.51 | −24% |
| Danone S.A BN | €60.14 | €50.81 | −16% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $23.79 | $29.20 | +23% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥34.29 | ¥37.72 | +10% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,387 | ₹724.74 | −48% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥26.77 | ¥41.84 | +56% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥25.12 | ¥9.98 | −60% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $35.82 | $34.66 | −3% |
| Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 | 74.50 TWD | 68.72 TWD | −8% |
| McCormick & Company MKC | $49.09 | $51.01 | +4% |
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Key figures of Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd
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