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Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp (688233) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 19.7B CNY

TS Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp 688233 · SHG
Price¥114.14
Fair Value¥11.98
Upside-89.5%
Quality67/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 22.3% net margin
negative free cash flow
0.16% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/12)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥8.99 – ¥14.98 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 12, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated today

Share price −34.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 90% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥14.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥238.56 ¥13.90 Fair Value ¥11.98 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥13.90 – ¥238.56 · fair‑value band ¥8.99 – ¥14.98 · the ¥114.14 price screens above the ¥11.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp (688233) currently trades at ¥114.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.98, implying the stock looks roughly 89.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp generated revenue of 445M CNY at a net margin of 22.3%. Revenue grew 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 340M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.99 (bear case) to ¥14.98 (bull case); at ¥114.14, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 326% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -75% fair-value upside, at -90%, 688233 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥1.20 to ¥28.41). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥8.57 ¥8.69 ¥8.48 76
Gordon GGM ¥0.6800 ¥1.42 ¥2.26 70
Growth-Adj P/E ¥18.91 ¥27.02 ¥35.13 68
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥4.37 ¥7.33 ¥13.54 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.07 ¥28.41 ¥39.87 54
Lynch FV ¥14.68 ¥20.97 ¥27.26 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥14.68 ¥20.97 ¥27.26 46
EPV ¥8.34 ¥9.39 ¥10.31 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.6800 ¥1.42 ¥2.26 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.6800 ¥1.20 ¥1.49 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.99 ¥11.98 ¥14.98 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.82 ¥6.43 ¥8.04 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.64 ¥10.19 ¥12.73 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.96 ¥15.27 ¥18.58 53
EV/EBITDA ¥14.77 ¥19.02 ¥23.26 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.55 ¥8.47 ¥10.40 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.55 ¥7.44 ¥11.10 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.57 ¥8.69 ¥8.48 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.34 ¥9.39 ¥10.31 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥18.91 ¥27.02 ¥35.13 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥27.02) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.20). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 445M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.2%
Net margin 22.3%
Return on equity 6.1%
Free cash flow −804K CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 192.8
More key figures
Operating margin 24.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5800
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -11.8%
Net cash 340M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 91
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 28
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of monocrystalline silicon products for integrated circuit etching in China and internationally.

Full company description

Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of monocrystalline silicon products for integrated circuit etching in China and internationally. The company offers large-diameter silicon ingots, silicon cylinders, silicon plates, silicon rings, silicon wafers, silicon single crystal rods, silicon tubes, silicon platters, and other products. It also engages in technology promotion; business services; and trading activities. The company exports its products to Japan, South Korea, and the United States. Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Jinzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp reported revenue of ¥438M in FY2025 versus ¥504M in FY2021, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥102M in FY2025, compounding −17.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
438M CNY
Latest YoY
+44.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.9%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.0%
Revenue −3.4%/yr
FY21 ¥504M
FY22 ¥539M
FY23 ¥135M
FY24 ¥303M
FY25 ¥438M
Net income −17.6%/yr
FY21 ¥221M
FY22 ¥158M
FY23 −¥69.1M
FY24 ¥41.2M
FY25 ¥102M

688233 screens 90% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688233

Peer Group

Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 215 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −90% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 199.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 10.42× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 44.31× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 98.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 31 · sector 60
PAST 24 · sector 31
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 3 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASML Holding ASML C$50.50 C$15.57 -69%
Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $579.43 $143.08 -75%
Lam Research Corporation LRCX $346.10 $67.57 -80%
KLA Corporation KLAC $212.75 $53.01 -75%
NAURA Technology Group 002371 ¥774.20 ¥151.43 -80%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥350.69 ¥41.79 -88%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥832.00 ¥431.44 -48%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 6,005 TWD 1,804 TWD -70%
Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co 300604 ¥325.24 ¥33.33 -90%
MPI Corporation 6223 5,600 TWD 609.44 TWD -89%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp (688233) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.98 versus a price of ¥114.14, about −90% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688233?
Our model-based fair value for Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp is ¥11.98 (as of Aug 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥114.14.
What is the quality score of 688233?
Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp (688233)?
Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 445M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688233?
The net profit margin of Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp is about 22.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp pay a dividend?
Thinkon Semiconductor Jinzhou Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.18% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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