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Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A stock ¥12.72, price ¥16.07, that is 20.8% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Healthcare CN · ISIN CNE100005XY6

CB Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A

688276 · SHG
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 21% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +28% vs. a year ago.
Quality 44/100
Fair value ¥12.72 · Overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −16.3 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -38.6% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 20/100
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥116.59 ¥13.58 Fair Value ¥12.72 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥13.58 – ¥116.59 · fair‑value band ¥9.54 – ¥15.90 · the ¥16.07 price screens above the ¥12.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. Ltd., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research and development, production, and sale of human vaccines in China and internationally.

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The company's products include herpes zoster vaccine; varicella vaccine; live, nasal, and freeze-dried influenza vaccine; and rabies vaccine (vero cell) for humans. Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is based in Changchun, China.

Stock analysis

Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276) currently trades at ¥16.07, while our estimate is ¥12.72, 21% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: ¥9.54 (bear) to ¥15.90 (bull), the price of ¥16.07 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A reported revenue of 592M CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −16.2%/yr. Reported net income was −272M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 6.6B CNY (≈ $993M) Small · P/S ratio 10.7 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.5900 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin −38.6% · Return on equity −6.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin −30.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 20 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −21%, 688276 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear ¥9.54 Fair Value ¥12.72 Bull ¥15.90
Price ¥16.07 · Downside -20.8%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 4
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 78
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 53
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 73
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 31
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 14
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 85
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−51.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
33.5% (2020) → −61.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

688276 screens overvalued: fair value 21% below the price. Compare with Merck KGaA →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 606 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −20.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −5.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −38.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −30.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 28.2% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.72× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 10.60× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)6 · sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)22 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Zoetis Inc ZTS $82.46 $113.53 +38% vs 688276
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥48.55 ¥55.21 +14% vs 688276
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,905 ₹1,983 +4% vs 688276
Haleon plc HLN $9.06 $8.62 −5% vs 688276
Merck KGaA MRK €149.35 €109.18 −27% vs 688276
Galderma Group GALD CHF 188.55 CHF 109.80 −42% vs 688276
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company TAK $20.93 $11.34 −46% vs 688276
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA $42.40 $20.74 −51% vs 688276
Sandoz Group SDZ CHF 83.38 CHF 39.70 −52% vs 688276
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹11,566 ₹1,567 −86% vs 688276

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Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688276

Frequently asked questions

Is Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is ¥12.72 versus a price of ¥16.07, about 21% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688276?
Our estimate for Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A is ¥12.72 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥16.07.
What is the quality score of 688276?
Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of ¥12.72 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario ¥9.54, optimistic scenario ¥15.90. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at ¥12.72, about 21% lower versus a price of ¥16.07 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥9.54, optimistic scenario ¥15.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 625M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A pay a dividend?
Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A currently shows a dividend yield of 1.12% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A has a dividend yield of 1.1%.
What is the intrinsic value of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A it is ¥12.72 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ¥16.07.
Is Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 688276 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥16.07, fair value ¥12.72, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688276?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥16.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥12.72). For Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A the two are ¥3.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A worth?
The market values Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A at about 6.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ¥16.07; our models calculate a fair value of ¥12.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688276?
Our models span a range for Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A: cautious scenario ¥9.54, base ¥12.72, optimistic ¥15.90 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ¥16.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
Balance-sheet figures for Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −6.1%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688276 from its 52-week high?
Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A trades at ¥16.07, about 32% below its 52-week high of ¥23.77 and 18% above the low of ¥13.58 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥12.72 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Merck KGaA, Takeda Pharmaceutical Company, Galderma Group, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ¥16.07, calculated fair value ¥12.72 (−21%), Quality Score 44/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was ¥16.07. Our estimate is ¥12.72, about 21% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A right now?
Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A

How large is the market capitalisation of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
The market capitalisation of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A is 6.6B CNY (≈ $993M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A is 10.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
Earnings per share at Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A are ¥−0.5900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
The dividend yield of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A is 1.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
The net margin of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A is −38.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A is −6.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
The operating margin of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A is −30.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
Revenue at Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A is growing +28.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276)?
Earnings per share at Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A are growing −98.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276) generate?
The free cash flow of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A is −175M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A (688276) carry?
The net debt of Changchun BCHT Biotechnology Co. A is 43.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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