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Niutech Environment Technology Corp (688309) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.9B CNY (≈ $887M) · ISIN CNE100004215

What is Niutech Environment Technology Corp really worth?

NE Niutech Environment Technology Corp 688309 · SHG
Price¥81.18
Fair Value¥9.50
Upside−88.3%
Quality59/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

A solid business, but trading 755% above our fair value of ¥9.50.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 16.7% net margin

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.0 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 4 out of 100

For context

·0.21% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range ¥7.13 – ¥11.88

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Share price +22.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥86.81 ¥9.90 Fair Value ¥9.50 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.90 – ¥86.81 · fair‑value band ¥7.13 – ¥11.88 · the ¥81.18 price screens above the ¥9.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Niutech Environment Technology Corp (688309) currently trades at ¥81.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.50, implying the stock looks roughly 754.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥13.13 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥81.18 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.44, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Niutech Environment Technology Corp generated revenue of 406M CNY at a net margin of 16.7%. Revenue grew 180.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 209M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.13 (bear case) to ¥11.88 (bull case); at ¥81.18, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −88%, 688309 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.4602 per share, which is 4.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥1.44 to ¥21.46). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ¥4.63 ¥5.93 ¥8.57 77
Residual Income ¥7.23 ¥7.19 ¥6.59 76
EPV ¥7.68 ¥8.33 ¥8.89 74
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥4.63 ¥5.93 ¥8.57 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.08 ¥21.46 ¥30.12 63
Lynch FV ¥6.89 ¥9.84 ¥12.80 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥6.89 ¥9.84 ¥12.80 57
EPV ¥7.68 ¥8.33 ¥8.89 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.8400 ¥1.67 ¥2.52 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.8400 ¥1.44 ¥1.76 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.13 ¥9.50 ¥11.88 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.56 ¥7.41 ¥9.26 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.77 ¥7.69 ¥9.62 55
EV/EBIT ¥10.66 ¥13.03 ¥15.40 66
EV/EBITDA ¥11.73 ¥14.46 ¥17.18 67
EV/Revenue ¥8.23 ¥10.23 ¥12.23 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.84 ¥6.49 ¥9.69 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.23 ¥7.19 ¥6.59 76
ROIC Compounder ¥7.68 ¥8.33 ¥8.89 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.19 ¥13.13 ¥17.07 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥13.13) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.44). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 95.5
P/S ratio 11.7 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.8500 price ÷ EPS = P/E 95.5
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 20.0%
Net margin 12.2% FY2025
Return on equity 8.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 33.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 406M CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +181% 3y avg +21.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +415%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −42.9M CNY FY2025
Net cash 209M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 95
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Niutech Environment Technology Corporation engages in the research and development, production, and sales of environment protection equipment internationally.

Full company description

Niutech Environment Technology Corporation engages in the research and development, production, and sales of environment protection equipment internationally. It offers polymer waste decomposition technology equipment; waste rubber, plastic, oil sludge, mineral oil; coal tar residue; municipal sludge, industrial solid waste, hazardous waste, domestic waste, and biomass industrial continuous cracking environmental protection equipment; oil purification technology and equipment; and cracking carbon black application technology and equipment, as well as provides technical consultation services. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Jinan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Niutech Environment Technology Corp reported revenue of 294M CNY in FY2025 versus 84.6M CNY in FY2021, a compound +36.6%/yr. Reported net income was 35.9M CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 56/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
294M CNY
Latest YoY
+89.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+36.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−12.3% (−12.5 + 0.2)
Revenue +36.6%/yr
FY21 84.6M CNY
FY22 165M CNY
FY23 164M CNY
FY24 155M CNY
FY25 294M CNY
Net income
FY21 −9.5M CNY
FY22 14.6M CNY
FY23 18.1M CNY
FY24 17.4M CNY
FY25 35.9M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) +13.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +18.7 %

of which total revenue +27.6 % · buybacks/dilution −7.0 %

EBIT margin +0.2 %
Tax rate −0.8 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −4.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

688309 screens 755% overvalued. Compare with Veralto Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Niutech Environment Technology Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688309

Peer Group

Pollution & Treatment Controls · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 181% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Pollution & Treatment Controls median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 95.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 7.72× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 14.62× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 53.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 7
PAST34 · sector 17
HEALTH99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND4 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Pollution & Treatment Controls stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Veralto Corporation VLTO $97.68 $67.62 −31%
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation ZWS $51.02 $24.92 −51%
Canmax Technologies Co 300390 ¥61.99 ¥10.07 −84%
CECO Environmental Corp CECO $79.59 $15.19 −81%
Fujian Longking Co 600388 ¥17.41 ¥15.59 −10%
Munters Group MTRS kr 183.90 kr 48.58 −74%
China Conch Venture Holdings 0586 HK$8.50 HK$10.70 +26%
Mega Union Technology Inc 6944 716.00 TWD 415.06 TWD −42%
MayAir Technology (China) Co 688376 ¥71.82 ¥18.80 −74%
Jingjin Equipment Inc 603279 ¥12.41 ¥18.97 +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Niutech Environment Technology Corp (688309) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.50 versus a price of ¥81.18, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688309?
Our model-based fair value for Niutech Environment Technology Corp is ¥9.50 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥81.18.
What is the quality score of 688309?
Niutech Environment Technology Corp has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Niutech Environment Technology Corp (688309)?
Niutech Environment Technology Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 406M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688309?
The net profit margin of Niutech Environment Technology Corp is about 16.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Niutech Environment Technology Corp pay a dividend?
Niutech Environment Technology Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.21% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 22, 2026).
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