Nantong Guosheng Intelligence Technology Group (688558) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price −4.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- Our model range runs from ¥18.73 (bear) to ¥31.22 (bull), base ¥24.98. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥14.54 – ¥57.00 · fair‑value band ¥18.73 – ¥31.22 · the ¥31.47 price screens above the ¥24.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Nantong Guosheng Intelligence Technology Group (688558) currently trades at ¥31.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥24.98, implying the stock looks roughly 20.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nantong Guosheng Intelligence Technology Group generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 12.4%. Revenue grew 25.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 538M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥18.73 (bear case) to ¥31.22 (bull case); at ¥31.47, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -21%, 688558 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥28.15) versus Asset-Based (¥8.71). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nantong Guosheng Intelligence Technology Group Co., Ltd. provides metal cutting medium and high-end CNC machine tools and intelligent automated production lines in China and internationally.
Full company description
Nantong Guosheng Intelligence Technology Group Co., Ltd. provides metal cutting medium and high-end CNC machine tools and intelligent automated production lines in China and internationally. The company offers MVL vertical, GMF gantry, GMF pentahedron, GMF/GMB/MX five-axis, and DBM horizontal boring and milling machining centers, as well as VM/GMS mold machining centers; HME inverted T-shaped and DMH horizontal boring and milling machining; and IHT CNC horizontal and IVT CNC vertical lathe machines. It primarily serves customers in various manufacturing fields, such as aviation and large aircraft, rail transit, new energy equipment, and construction machinery. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Nantong, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nantong Guosheng Intelligence Technology Group reported revenue of ¥1.3B in FY2025 versus ¥1.1B in FY2021, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥157M in FY2025, compounding −5.9%/yr from FY2021.
688558 screens 21% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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