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Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co (688636) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 6.4B CNY

CZ Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co 688636 · SHG
Price¥19.70
Fair Value¥9.99
Upside-49.3%
Quality57/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.29% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range ¥6.69 – ¥12.49 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price −48.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥12.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥6.69 to ¥12.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥59.86 ¥11.35 Fair Value ¥9.99 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.35 – ¥59.86 · fair‑value band ¥6.69 – ¥12.49 · the ¥19.70 price screens above the ¥9.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co (688636) currently trades at ¥19.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.99, implying the stock looks roughly 49.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co generated revenue of 737M CNY at a net margin of 15.2%. Revenue grew 34.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. Net debt stands at 71.2M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.69 (bear case) to ¥12.49 (bull case); at ¥19.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -49%, 688636 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥6.44 ¥6.76 ¥7.23 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.56 ¥6.23 ¥6.80 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.8100 ¥1.61 ¥2.43 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥10.97 ¥22.72 ¥46.47 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.00 ¥27.87 ¥39.11 54
Lynch FV ¥8.32 ¥11.89 ¥15.45 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥8.32 ¥11.89 ¥15.45 46
EPV ¥5.56 ¥6.23 ¥6.80 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.8100 ¥1.61 ¥2.43 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.8100 ¥1.39 ¥1.70 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.81 ¥11.75 ¥14.69 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.49 ¥9.99 ¥12.49 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.49 ¥9.99 ¥12.49 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.32 ¥10.65 ¥12.99 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.69 ¥9.82 ¥11.94 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.03 ¥8.06 ¥10.08 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.01 ¥5.38 ¥8.03 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.44 ¥6.76 ¥7.23 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.56 ¥6.23 ¥6.80 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥11.11 ¥15.88 ¥20.64 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥22.72) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.39). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 737M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +34.3%
Net margin 15.2%
Return on equity 8.8%
Free cash flow −83.7M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 55.6
More key figures
Operating margin 18.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6600
Dividend yield 0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +42.9%
Net debt 71.2M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co., Ltd. provides customized embedded modules and solutions primarily in China. The company provides intelligent computing terminal, image perception and intelligent processing, bus control, signal acquisition, edge storage, and high-reliability intelligent power supply products.

Full company description

Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co., Ltd. provides customized embedded modules and solutions primarily in China. The company provides intelligent computing terminal, image perception and intelligent processing, bus control, signal acquisition, edge storage, and high-reliability intelligent power supply products. Its products are used in aircraft, missiles, satellites, rockets, and unmanned systems serving electronic systems in electronic warfare, precision guidance, radar, communication, and flight control. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Chengdu, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co reported revenue of ¥705M in FY2025 versus ¥449M in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥102M in FY2025, compounding −2.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
705M CNY
Latest YoY
+60.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.8%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+19.4%
Revenue +11.9%/yr
FY21 ¥449M
FY22 ¥541M
FY23 ¥663M
FY24 ¥438M
FY25 ¥705M
Net income −2.2%/yr
FY21 ¥112M
FY22 ¥75.4M
FY23 ¥96.3M
FY24 ¥19.5M
FY25 ¥102M

688636 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Compal Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688636

Peer Group

Computer Hardware · 215 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −49% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 34% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 55.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.57× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.66× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 40.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 35 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 6 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR $0.0310 $0.0276 -11%
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $434.97 $163.87 -62%
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $168.56 $43.74 -74%
Western Digital Corporation WDC $513.84 $74.05 -86%
Wiwynn Corporation 6669 4,685 TWD 1,559 TWD -67%
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥34.12 ¥30.11 -12%
Quanta Computer Inc 2382 373.50 TWD 297.22 TWD -20%
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 ¥587.60 ¥60.86 -90%
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$23.16 HK$3.07 -87%
Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 ¥106.13 ¥28.88 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co (688636) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.99 versus a price of ¥19.70, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688636?
Our model-based fair value for Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co is ¥9.99 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥19.70.
What is the quality score of 688636?
Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co (688636)?
Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 737M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688636?
The net profit margin of Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co is about 15.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co pay a dividend?
Chengdu Zhimingda Electronics Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.29% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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