Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A ¥7.54, price ¥13.80, upside -45.4%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.42 – ¥34.33 · fair‑value band ¥6.09 – ¥9.52 · the ¥13.80 price screens above the ¥7.54 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, distribution, and sale of pharmaceutical products. It offers drugs in various forms, such as injection, lyophilized powder injection, pills, tablets, capsules, ointments, creams, granules, etc.
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Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, distribution, and sale of pharmaceutical products. It offers drugs in various forms, such as injection, lyophilized powder injection, pills, tablets, capsules, ointments, creams, granules, etc. The company provides drugs in various categories, including covering cardio-cerebrovascular, antivirals, central nervous system medication, turbidity and lipid-lowering, gastrointestinal system, anti-infection, endocrinology anti-tumour and other therapeutic areas. It also offers raw materials, pharmaceutical excipients, and formulations. Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658) currently trades at ¥13.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.54, implying the stock looks roughly 83.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥8.13 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥13.80 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.94, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥6.09 (bear) to ¥9.52 (bull), the price of ¥13.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 2.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 5.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −16.2%/yr. Reported net income was −254M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 6.3B CNY (≈ $934M) · P/S ratio 2.49 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.5500 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin −10.4% · Return on equity −7.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9% · Operating margin −3.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −45%, 688658 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥6.09Fair Value ¥7.54Bull ¥9.52
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−35.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.3% (2020) → −9.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.6% a year for the price.
Compare Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 651 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside−45% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.28× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.39× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF4.5× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)8· sector 23
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688658
Frequently asked questions
Is Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.54 versus a price of ¥13.80, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688658?
Our model-based fair value for Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A is ¥7.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.80.
What is the quality score of 688658?
Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥6.09, optimistic scenario ¥9.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.54, about −45% upside versus a price of ¥13.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥6.09, optimistic scenario ¥9.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.38% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A would have to grow free cash flow by +15.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -10.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 688658 use?
Our models discount Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.63, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A that is +15.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A grew -10.8 % a year. The price currently implies +15.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (+15.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.34 %: that much free cash flow Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A it is ¥7.54 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥13.80. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688658 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.80, fair value ¥7.54, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688658?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.54). For Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥6.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A at about 6.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.80; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688658?
Our models span a range for Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥6.09, base ¥7.54, optimistic ¥9.52 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥13.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
Balance-sheet figures for Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −7.7%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688658 from its 52-week high?
Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥13.80, about 57% below its 52-week high of ¥31.79 and 21% above the low of ¥11.42 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, Samsung Biologics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥13.80, calculated fair value ¥7.54 (−45%), Quality Score 52/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688658 calculated?
We run Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥7.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥13.80. Our model-based fair value is ¥7.54, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A
How large is the market capitalisation of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
The market capitalisation of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A is 6.3B CNY (≈ $934M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A is 2.49 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
Earnings per share at Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A are ¥−0.5500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
The dividend yield of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
The net margin of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A is −10.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A is −7.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
The operating margin of Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A is −3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
Revenue at Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A is growing −3.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658)?
Earnings per share at Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A are growing −59.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A (688658) hold?
Youcare Pharmaceutical Group Co. Ltd. A holds more cash than debt, 282M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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