OPT Machine Vision Tech Co (688686) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 14.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −23.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 78% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥32.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥42.90 – ¥311.57 · fair‑value band ¥18.99 – ¥32.18 · the ¥116.21 price screens above the ¥26.13 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.
Analysis
OPT Machine Vision Tech Co (688686) currently trades at ¥116.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥26.13, implying the stock looks roughly 77.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, OPT Machine Vision Tech Co generated revenue of 1.4B CNY at a net margin of 14.2%. Revenue grew 33.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 236M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥18.99 (bear case) to ¥32.18 (bull case); at ¥116.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -78%, 688686 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥39.06) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.14). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
OPT Machine Vision Tech Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in research, development, production, and sale of core machine vision software and hardware, and motion control products in Mainland China and internationally.
Full company description
OPT Machine Vision Tech Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in research, development, production, and sale of core machine vision software and hardware, and motion control products in Mainland China and internationally. The company offers machine vision systems, comprising machine vision software, SKD, and vision controllers; smart and industrial cameras; smart code readers; 3D cameras; and industrial lenses, consisting of line scan, fixed focal, telecentric, microscopic, liquid, and special lenses. It also provides standard and custom light sources; light source controllers; and measurement system products. In addition, the company offers 3D laser profilers and barcode readers; and after-sales services. Its products are used in semiconductors, display panels, 3C products, battery technology and renewable energy, laser processing, automotive, pharmaceutics, household chemicals, food and beverage, packaging and printing, tooling and machining, and plastic products applications. The company was formerly known as Guangdong Technology Private Enterprise and changed its name to OPT Machine Vision Tech Co., Ltd. in 2016. OPT Machine Vision Tech Co., Ltd. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Dongguan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
OPT Machine Vision Tech Co reported revenue of ¥1.3B in FY2025 versus ¥875M in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥183M in FY2025, compounding −11.8%/yr from FY2021.
688686 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →
Peer Group
Electronic Components · 631 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,880 TWD | 515.23 TWD | -73% |
| Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 | 242.50 TWD | 270.47 TWD | +12% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥62.14 | ¥38.44 | -38% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,260,000 KRW | 166,421 KRW | -87% |
| Elite Material Co 2383 | 4,990 TWD | 714.36 TWD | -86% |
| Yageo Corporation 2327 | 699.00 TWD | 216.55 TWD | -69% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥132.29 | ¥27.45 | -79% |
| Shennan Circuits Co 002916 | ¥364.00 | ¥93.50 | -74% |
| Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 | HK$297.00 | HK$103.98 | -65% |
| Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 | ¥127.80 | ¥31.95 | -75% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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