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Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co (688687) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 2.8B CNY

BK Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co 688687 · SHG
Price¥17.95
Fair Value¥4.08
Upside-77.3%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.57% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.86 – ¥5.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥6.93 to ¥4.08 (−41.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥2.86 to ¥5.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥39.54 ¥14.32 Fair Value ¥4.08 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥14.32 – ¥39.54 · fair‑value band ¥2.86 – ¥5.31 · the ¥17.95 price screens above the ¥4.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co (688687) currently trades at ¥17.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.08, implying the stock looks roughly 77.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue declined 10.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 657M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.86 (bear case) to ¥5.31 (bull case); at ¥17.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -77%, 688687 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥6.92 ¥6.61 ¥5.05 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.76 ¥6.14 ¥6.47 72
Gordon GGM ¥2.88 ¥5.74 ¥8.69 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.18 ¥6.67 ¥9.27 54
Lynch FV ¥1.87 ¥2.67 ¥3.48 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.87 ¥2.67 ¥3.48 46
EPV ¥5.76 ¥6.14 ¥6.47 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.88 ¥5.74 ¥8.69 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.88 ¥4.96 ¥6.06 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.86 ¥3.81 ¥4.77 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.21 ¥2.95 ¥3.68 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.21 ¥2.95 ¥3.68 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.06 ¥9.63 ¥11.20 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.57 ¥12.97 ¥15.38 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.71 ¥8.15 ¥9.59 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.99 ¥6.69 ¥9.99 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.92 ¥6.61 ¥5.05 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.76 ¥6.14 ¥6.47 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.86 ¥4.08 ¥5.31 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥6.69) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.67). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.7%
Net margin 0.9%
Return on equity 1.1%
Free cash flow −23.7M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 233.4
More key figures
Operating margin 1.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0700
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -73.3%
Net cash 657M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 57
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co., Ltd., a biopharmaceutical company, provides treatment solutions for viral and immune diseases in China and internationally.

Full company description

Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co., Ltd., a biopharmaceutical company, provides treatment solutions for viral and immune diseases in China and internationally. The company offers recombinant human interferon alfa-2b injection; interferon alfa-2b vaginal effervescent tablets; coblopasvir hydrocholoride capsules; sofosbuvir tablets; peginterferon alfacon-2 injection; and compound glycyrrhizin tablets, capsules, and injections; and pirfenidone tablets for mild to moderate idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. It is also involved in contract manufacture organization/contract development and manufacturing organization; technology and biotechnology development; technical consulting; biotechnology consulting; science and technology promotion and application; and wholesale of medical supplies. Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co reported revenue of ¥1.3B in FY2025 versus ¥1.1B in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥29.6M in FY2025, compounding −27.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 38/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.4%
Revenue +3.6%/yr
FY21 ¥1.1B
FY22 ¥1.2B
FY23 ¥1.4B
FY24 ¥1.2B
FY25 ¥1.3B
Net income −27.5%/yr
FY21 ¥107M
FY22 ¥83.4M
FY23 ¥117M
FY24 ¥142M
FY25 ¥29.6M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +14.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +12.8 pp

of which total revenue +20.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −8.0 pp

EBIT margin +5.8 pp
Tax rate +0.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −4.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

688687 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688687

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Above median
Revenue growth -11% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 233.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.64× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.16× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 29.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 4 · sector 0
HEALTH 92 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 31 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co (688687) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.08 versus a price of ¥17.95, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688687?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co is ¥4.08 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥17.95.
What is the quality score of 688687?
Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co (688687)?
Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688687?
The net profit margin of Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co is about 0.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co pay a dividend?
Beijing Kawin Technology Share-Holding Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.57% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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