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Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co (688697) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 9.9B CNY

NC Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co 688697 · SHG
Price¥14.61
Fair Value¥8.04
Upside-45.0%
Quality51/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.2% net margin
generates free cash flow
2.21% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.85 – ¥10.04 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥8.56 to ¥8.04 (−6.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 45% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥4.85 to ¥10.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥25.04 ¥7.31 Fair Value ¥8.04 Sep 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range ¥7.31 – ¥25.04 · fair‑value band ¥4.85 – ¥10.04 · the ¥14.61 price screens above the ¥8.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co (688697) currently trades at ¥14.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.04, implying the stock looks roughly 45.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co generated revenue of 3.0B CNY at a net margin of 10.2%. Revenue grew 25.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at 100M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.85 (bear case) to ¥10.04 (bull case); at ¥14.61, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -45%, 688697 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥3.00 ¥3.74 ¥8.14 76
Growth DCF ¥0.5900 ¥0.7200 ¥0.9300 72
Gordon GGM ¥2.80 ¥5.59 ¥8.46 70
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.6000 ¥0.6900 ¥0.9400 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.03 ¥5.86 ¥11.35 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.86 ¥7.99 ¥14.81 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.48 ¥9.37 ¥16.85 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥5.50 ¥11.97 ¥20.26 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.64 ¥6.44 ¥12.51 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.23 ¥7.52 ¥15.46 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.92 ¥9.30 ¥18.57 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.21 ¥20.68 ¥28.92 54
Lynch FV ¥6.00 ¥8.56 ¥11.13 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥6.00 ¥8.56 ¥11.13 46
EPV ¥4.67 ¥5.33 ¥5.90 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.80 ¥5.59 ¥8.46 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.80 ¥4.83 ¥5.90 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.44 ¥9.93 ¥12.41 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.03 ¥8.04 ¥10.04 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.03 ¥8.04 ¥10.04 55
EV/EBIT ¥7.01 ¥9.19 ¥11.37 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.40 ¥8.37 ¥10.35 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.14 ¥7.14 ¥9.14 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.44 ¥1.93 ¥2.89 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.5900 ¥0.7200 ¥0.9300 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.00 ¥3.74 ¥8.14 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.53 ¥7.72 ¥10.52 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.46 ¥12.09 ¥15.72 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥12.09) versus Growth DCF (¥0.7200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.0%
Net margin 10.2%
Return on equity 16.7%
Free cash flow 5.9M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 31.4
More key figures
Operating margin 10.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4900
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.6%
Net debt 100M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of CNC machine tools in China. It offers slant bed, flat bed, and vertical CNC lathes; vertical and horizontal machinery center products; double column machining center products; and CNC boring machines.

Full company description

Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of CNC machine tools in China. It offers slant bed, flat bed, and vertical CNC lathes; vertical and horizontal machinery center products; double column machining center products; and CNC boring machines. The company's products are primarily used in automotive, new energy, aviation, construction machinery, mold making, valves, automation equipment, electronic equipment, and general equipment industries. It also exports its products to approximately 60 countries and regions. Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Suzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co reported revenue of ¥2.9B in FY2025 versus ¥1.7B in FY2021, a compound +14.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥303M in FY2025, compounding +15.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+17.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+16.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+20.0%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+20.9%
Revenue +14.0%/yr
FY21 ¥1.7B
FY22 ¥1.8B
FY23 ¥2.3B
FY24 ¥2.5B
FY25 ¥2.9B
Net income +15.8%/yr
FY21 ¥169M
FY22 ¥262M
FY23 ¥318M
FY24 ¥325M
FY25 ¥303M

688697 screens 45% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688697

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −45% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.34× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.25× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 247.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 26.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 67 · sector 28
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 44 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co (688697) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.04 versus a price of ¥14.61, about −45% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688697?
Our model-based fair value for Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co is ¥8.04 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥14.61.
What is the quality score of 688697?
Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co (688697)?
Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688697?
The net profit margin of Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co is about 10.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co pay a dividend?
Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.21% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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