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6969 (6969) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · Market cap HK$46.3B

6 6969 6969 · HK
PriceHK$7.47
Fair ValueHK$4.16
Upside-44.3%
Quality45/100
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Evidence: High Range HK$3.12 – HK$5.21

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Share price −20.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$22.72 HK$7.02 Fair Value HK$4.16 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$7.02 – HK$22.72 · fair‑value band HK$3.12 – HK$5.21 · the HK$7.47 price screens above the HK$4.16 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

6969 (6969) currently trades at HK$7.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.16 — implying the stock looks roughly 44.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 6969 generated revenue of HK$4.3B at a net margin of 25.1%. Revenue grew 16.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 144.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$5.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$4.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.4%
Net margin 25.1%
Return on equity 144%
Free cash flow −HK$363M FY2025
P/E ratio 37.4
More key figures
Operating margin -0.7%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1300
EPS growth (YoY) +5.3%
Net cash HK$5.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

6969 reported revenue of HK$14.3B in FY2025 versus HK$13.8B in FY2021, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.1B in FY2025, compounding −33.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +0.9%/yr
FY21 HK$13.8B
FY22 HK$12.1B
FY23 HK$11.2B
FY24 HK$11.8B
FY25 HK$14.3B
Net income −33.0%/yr
FY21 HK$5.3B
FY22 HK$2.5B
FY23 HK$1.6B
FY24 HK$1.3B
FY25 HK$1.1B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

6 more Tobacco stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

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Philip Morris International Inc PM $182.95 $132.84 -27%
British American Tobacco p.l.c. BTI $60.46 $25.74 -57%
MO MO 1,253 MXN 72.57 MXN -94%
Altria Group PHM7 €60.20 €54.57 -9%
Japan Tobacco Inc JAPAF $40.34 $36.15 -10%
ITC Limited ITC ₹291.25 ₹291.49 +0%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 6969 (6969) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$4.16 versus a price of HK$7.47 — about −44% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 6969?
Our model-based fair value for 6969 is HK$4.16 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$7.47.
What is the quality score of 6969?
6969 has a Quality Score of 45/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 6969 (6969)?
6969 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$4.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 6969?
The net profit margin of 6969 is about 25.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 25.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.