UMS Holdings (7137) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · MY · Market cap 72.4M MYR
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +4.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.74 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.28 MYR – 2.65 MYR · fair‑value band 1.04 MYR – 1.74 MYR · the 1.78 MYR price screens above the 1.43 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
UMS Holdings (7137) currently trades at 1.78 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.43 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 19.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, UMS Holdings generated revenue of 71.5M MYR at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue grew 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.0%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 15.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.04 MYR (bear case) to 1.74 MYR (bull case); at 1.78 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -20%, 7137 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (2.72 MYR) versus Dividend Discount (0.7400 MYR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
UMS Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, markets and distributes mechanical power transmission and material handling products and systems, and industrial spare parts in West Malaysia, and Singapore. It trades in engineering products, as well as engages in machinery, parts, and accessories; and property letting businesses.
Full company description
UMS Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, markets and distributes mechanical power transmission and material handling products and systems, and industrial spare parts in West Malaysia, and Singapore. It trades in engineering products, as well as engages in machinery, parts, and accessories; and property letting businesses. The company also offers palm oil chains, rubber conveyor belts, rollers, industrial material handling components for the palm oil, sugar, quarry, cement, rubber, timber and the manufacturing sectors. UMS Holdings Berhad was founded in 1941 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
UMS Holdings reported revenue of 68.8M MYR in FY2025 versus 63.8M MYR in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 3.7M MYR in FY2025, compounding −1.9%/yr from FY2021.
7137 screens 20% overvalued. Compare with W.W. Grainger, Inc →
Peer Group
Industrial Distribution · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,376 | $625.61 | -55% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $45.49 | $20.64 | -55% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $232.02 | $151.92 | -35% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $326.71 | $213.01 | -35% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $385.16 | $268.10 | -30% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$232.22 | C$127.90 | -45% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $329.35 | $191.65 | -42% |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$102.50 | C$76.38 | -25% |
| Addtech AB ADDTB | kr 329.20 | kr 156.35 | -53% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $44.66 | $49.47 | +11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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