UMS Holdings Bhd (7137) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of UMS Holdings Bhd MYR 1.43, price MYR 1.85, upside -22.7%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.28 MYR – 2.65 MYR · fair‑value band 1.10 MYR – 1.86 MYR · the 1.85 MYR price screens above the 1.43 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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UMS Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, markets and distributes mechanical power transmission and material handling products and systems, and industrial spare parts in West Malaysia, and Singapore. It trades in engineering products, as well as engages in machinery, parts, and accessories; and property letting businesses.
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UMS Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, markets and distributes mechanical power transmission and material handling products and systems, and industrial spare parts in West Malaysia, and Singapore. It trades in engineering products, as well as engages in machinery, parts, and accessories; and property letting businesses. The company also offers palm oil chains, rubber conveyor belts, rollers, industrial material handling components for the palm oil, sugar, quarry, cement, rubber, timber and the manufacturing sectors. UMS Holdings Berhad was founded in 1941 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
UMS Holdings Bhd (7137) currently trades at 1.85 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.43 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 29.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 2.72 MYR per share, and 6 of the 15 models we run sit above the 1.85 MYR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.7500 MYR, and 9 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1.10 MYR (bear) to 1.86 MYR (bull), the price of 1.85 MYR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
UMS Holdings Bhd reported revenue of 68.8M MYR in FY2025 versus 63.8M MYR in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 3.7M MYR in FY2025, compounding −1.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 75.3M MYR (≈ $18.5M) · P/E ratio 15.4 · P/S ratio 0.82 · EPS (TTM) 0.1200 MYR · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 5.3% · Return on equity 3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −23%, 7137 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.10 MYRFair Value 1.43 MYRBull 1.86 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0592 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.28/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+14.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12% vs −7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.8%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 112 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Below median
Fair Value upside−21% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.2% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "UMS Holdings Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/7137
Frequently asked questions
Is UMS Holdings Bhd (7137) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.43 MYR versus a price of 1.85 MYR, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 7137?
Our model-based fair value for UMS Holdings Bhd is 1.43 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.85 MYR.
What is the quality score of 7137?
UMS Holdings Bhd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for UMS Holdings Bhd (7137)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.43 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.10 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.86 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the UMS Holdings Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.43 MYR, about −23% upside versus a price of 1.85 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.10 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.86 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of UMS Holdings Bhd (7137)?
UMS Holdings Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 71.5M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does UMS Holdings Bhd pay a dividend?
UMS Holdings Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.24% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of UMS Holdings Bhd (7137)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For UMS Holdings Bhd it is 1.43 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1.85 MYR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is UMS Holdings Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 7137 trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.85 MYR, fair value 1.43 MYR, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 7137?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.85 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.43 MYR). For UMS Holdings Bhd the two are 0.4200 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is UMS Holdings Bhd worth?
The market values UMS Holdings Bhd at about 75.3M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1.85 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 1.43 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 7137?
Our models span a range for UMS Holdings Bhd: cautious scenario 1.10 MYR, base 1.43 MYR, optimistic 1.86 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1.85 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 7137?
UMS Holdings Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.43 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of UMS Holdings Bhd (7137)?
Balance-sheet figures for UMS Holdings Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 7137 from its 52-week high?
UMS Holdings Bhd trades at 1.85 MYR, about 11% below its 52-week high of 2.08 MYR and 9% above the low of 1.70 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.43 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to UMS Holdings Bhd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is UMS Holdings Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1.85 MYR, calculated fair value 1.43 MYR (−23%), Quality Score 57/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 7137 calculated?
We run UMS Holdings Bhd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.43 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. UMS Holdings Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of UMS Holdings Bhd (7137)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1.85 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 1.43 MYR, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with UMS Holdings Bhd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of UMS Holdings Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of UMS Holdings Bhd (7137)?
The market capitalisation of UMS Holdings Bhd is 75.3M MYR (≈ $18.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of UMS Holdings Bhd (7137)?
The price-to-sales ratio of UMS Holdings Bhd is 0.82 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of UMS Holdings Bhd (7137)?
Earnings per share at UMS Holdings Bhd are 0.1200 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of UMS Holdings Bhd (7137)?
The dividend yield of UMS Holdings Bhd is 3.2% (payout 50.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of UMS Holdings Bhd (7137)?
The net margin of UMS Holdings Bhd is 5.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of UMS Holdings Bhd (7137)?
The return on equity (ROE) of UMS Holdings Bhd is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of UMS Holdings Bhd (7137)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of UMS Holdings Bhd is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of UMS Holdings Bhd (7137)?
The operating margin of UMS Holdings Bhd is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at UMS Holdings Bhd (7137)?
Revenue at UMS Holdings Bhd is growing +6.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at UMS Holdings Bhd (7137)?
Earnings per share at UMS Holdings Bhd are growing −33.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does UMS Holdings Bhd (7137) generate?
The free cash flow of UMS Holdings Bhd is −4.9M MYR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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