8020 Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · Market cap 495M SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated today
Share price −3.4% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (7.05 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 8.40 SAR – 13.53 SAR · fair‑value band 4.23 SAR – 7.05 SAR · the 9.90 SAR price screens above the 5.64 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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8020 (8020) currently trades at 9.90 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.64 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 43.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, 8020 generated revenue of 1.4B SAR at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue declined 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 269M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 4.23 SAR (bear case) to 7.05 SAR (bull case); at 9.90 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 70% fair-value upside, at -43%, 8020 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
8020 reported revenue of 1.5B SAR in FY2025 versus 818M SAR in FY2021, a compound +16.8%/yr. Reported net income was 21.7M SAR in FY2025.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chubb Limited C1BL34 | R$419.60 | R$421.12 | +0% |
| The Progressive Corporation PGR | $204.02 | $316.22 | +55% |
| Tokio Marine Holdings TKOMF | $42.16 | $41.60 | -1% |
| The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV | $316.96 | $384.42 | +21% |
| The Allstate Corporation ALL | $222.56 | $445.12 | +100% |
| The People's Insurance Company 601319 | ¥7.12 | ¥14.24 | +100% |
| PICC Property and Casualty Company PPCCY | $49.08 | $83.45 | +70% |
| MS&AD Insurance Group MSADF | $29.91 | $57.59 | +93% |
| Intact Financial Corporation IFC | C$282.25 | C$213.20 | -24% |
| Sompo Holdings SMPNY | $19.53 | $36.39 | +86% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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