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Kwong Man Kee Group Ltd (8023) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$203M

KM Kwong Man Kee Group Ltd 8023 · HK
PriceHK$0.3400
Fair ValueHK$0.2600
Upside-23.5%
Quality55/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.7% net margin
generates free cash flow
1.45% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.1600 – HK$0.3600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −15.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 24% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1600 to HK$0.3600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.4903 HK$0.2550 Fair Value HK$0.2600 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2550 – HK$0.4903 · fair‑value band HK$0.1600 – HK$0.3600 · the HK$0.3400 price screens above the HK$0.2600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Kwong Man Kee Group Ltd (8023) currently trades at HK$0.3400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2600, implying the stock looks roughly 23.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kwong Man Kee Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$173M at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 8.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$24.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1600 (bear case) to HK$0.3600 (bull case); at HK$0.3400, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -24%, 8023 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$0.1600 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1500 76
Growth DCF HK$0.0600 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 72
Gordon GGM HK$0.0700 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1500 70
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.0600 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.2300 HK$0.3400 HK$0.5000 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1700 HK$0.2900 HK$0.4600 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2000 HK$0.3600 HK$0.5600 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.1700 HK$0.3000 HK$0.4500 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1200 HK$0.2000 HK$0.3500 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1400 HK$0.2500 HK$0.4200 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.1300 HK$0.2100 HK$0.3400 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0900 HK$0.4500 HK$0.6200 54
Lynch FV HK$0.1200 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2200 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2200 46
EPV HK$0.1700 HK$0.1800 HK$0.1900 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0700 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1500 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0700 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.2200 HK$0.2900 HK$0.3600 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.1700 HK$0.2300 HK$0.2900 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.1700 HK$0.2300 HK$0.2900 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.3200 HK$0.4100 HK$0.5000 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.3200 HK$0.4100 HK$0.5000 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4100 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 HK$0.2100 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0600 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.1600 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1500 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.1700 HK$0.1800 HK$0.1900 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.1900 HK$0.2700 HK$0.3500 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.2900) versus Growth DCF (HK$0.0600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$173M
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.4%
Net margin 4.7%
Return on equity 6.7%
Free cash flow HK$295K FY2025
P/E ratio 17.0 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 10.5%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -1.3%
Net cash HK$24.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kwong Man Kee Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides engineering services to the car park flooring industry in Hong Kong, Macau, and other Asian regions.

Full company description

Kwong Man Kee Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides engineering services to the car park flooring industry in Hong Kong, Macau, and other Asian regions. The company offers flooring services, including application of proprietary floor coating products for providing a colorful, slip-resistance, and hard-wearing surface that is resistant against water and petrochemicals; and ancillary services, such as specialized texture painting and waterproofing works. It also offers screeding and anti-skid surfacing services; trades in materials; and sells flooring and waterproofing materials. Kwong Man Kee Group Limited was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong. Kwong Man Kee Group Limited is a subsidiary of Sage City Investments Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kwong Man Kee Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$167M in FY2025 versus HK$119M in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$8.2M in FY2025, compounding −14.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$167M
Latest YoY
+13.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.6%
Revenue +8.9%/yr
FY21 HK$119M
FY22 HK$110M
FY23 HK$171M
FY24 HK$148M
FY25 HK$167M
Net income −14.8%/yr
FY21 HK$15.6M
FY22 HK$7.5M
FY23 HK$19.1M
FY24 HK$13.9M
FY25 HK$8.2M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) −0.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +13.4 pp

of which total revenue +13.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −10.2 pp
Tax rate −0.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

8023 screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kwong Man Kee Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8023

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −24% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.60× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.17× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 87.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 2 · sector 14
FUTURE 42 · sector 15
PAST 27 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 29 · sector 43

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,020 ₹1,994 -50%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 357,500 KRW 261,411 KRW -27%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 113,700 KRW 61,453 KRW -46%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 49,300 KRW 43,624 KRW -12%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹230.00 ₹48.92 -79%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 18,400 KRW 6,507 KRW -65%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 99,800 KRW 19,346 KRW -81%
GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 35,200 KRW 23,135 KRW -34%
DL E&C Co 375500 73,500 KRW 148,433 KRW +102%
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 46,350 KRW 43,924 KRW -5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kwong Man Kee Group Ltd (8023) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2600 versus a price of HK$0.3400, about −24% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8023?
Our model-based fair value for Kwong Man Kee Group Ltd is HK$0.2600 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.3400.
What is the quality score of 8023?
Kwong Man Kee Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kwong Man Kee Group Ltd (8023)?
Kwong Man Kee Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$173M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8023?
The net profit margin of Kwong Man Kee Group Ltd is about 4.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kwong Man Kee Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Kwong Man Kee Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.45% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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