The Mediterranean&Gulf Insurance Co (8030) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · SA · Market cap 2.0B SAR
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +13.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 84% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.48 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 7.63 SAR – 34.75 SAR · fair‑value band 2.08 SAR – 3.48 SAR · the 17.47 SAR price screens above the 2.78 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
The Mediterranean&Gulf Insurance Co (8030) currently trades at 17.47 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.78 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 84.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Mediterranean&Gulf Insurance Co generated revenue of 4.6B SAR at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue grew 24.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 648M SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.08 SAR (bear case) to 3.48 SAR (bull case); at 17.47 SAR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at -84%, 8030 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (14.81 SAR) versus Multiples (3.86 SAR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Mediterranean and Gulf Cooperative Insurance and Reinsurance Company provides medical, motor, and other general insurance in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company offers third party and comprehensive motor, medical malpractice, and domestic worker contract insurance; roadside assistance; and visit visa extension services.
Full company description
The Mediterranean and Gulf Cooperative Insurance and Reinsurance Company provides medical, motor, and other general insurance in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company offers third party and comprehensive motor, medical malpractice, and domestic worker contract insurance; roadside assistance; and visit visa extension services. It also provides health insurance; property all risks, sabotage and terrorism, fire and allied perils, and political violence insurance; aviation hull and liability, unmanaged aerial systems, airport operations/contractors liability insurance; and marine cargo insurance one single shipment, marine cargo open cover, marine hull, land transit insurance one shipment, and land transit open cover. In addition, the company offers insurance for boiler and pressure; erection all risk insurance; plant and equipment insurance; contractors all risk insurance; electronic equipment insurance; inherent structural defects insurance; deterioration of stock following machinery breakdown insurance; and machinery breakdown insurance products. The Mediterranean and Gulf Cooperative Insurance and Reinsurance Company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Mediterranean&Gulf Insurance Co reported revenue of 4.4B SAR in FY2025 versus 1.7B SAR in FY2021, a compound +25.8%/yr. Reported net income was 41.1M SAR in FY2025.
of which total revenue +1.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −8.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
8030 screens 84% overvalued. Compare with China Life Insurance Company →
Peer Group
Insurance - Life · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Life Insurance Company 601628 | ¥37.33 | ¥49.98 | +34% |
| Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 | ¥52.60 | ¥84.72 | +61% |
| Manulife Financial Corporation 0945 | HK$343.40 | HK$143.17 | -58% |
| Life Insurance Corporation LICI | ₹412.15 | ₹392.93 | -5% |
| China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 | ¥30.48 | ¥57.51 | +89% |
| Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 | 302,500 KRW | 191,293 KRW | -37% |
| Prudential plc PUKN | 545.00 MXN | 499.36 MXN | -8% |
| New China Life Insurance Company 601336 | ¥58.83 | ¥99.92 | +70% |
| SBI Life Insurance Company SBILIFE | ₹1,830 | ₹293.11 | -84% |
| Cathay Financial Holding 2882B | 59.00 TWD | 107.71 TWD | +83% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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