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Changs Ascending Enterprise Co (8038) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 2.3B TWD

CA Changs Ascending Enterprise Co 8038 · TWO
Price32.85 TWD
Fair Value16.98 TWD
Upside-48.3%
Quality57/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: Medium Range 12.26 TWD – 19.78 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from 17.03 TWD to 16.98 TWD (−0.3%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −26.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (19.78 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

62.50 TWD 18.00 TWD Fair Value 16.98 TWD Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 18.00 TWD – 62.50 TWD · fair‑value band 12.26 TWD – 19.78 TWD · the 32.85 TWD price screens above the 16.98 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Changs Ascending Enterprise Co (8038) currently trades at 32.85 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.98 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 48.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Changs Ascending Enterprise Co generated revenue of 724M TWD at a net margin of 11.6%. It earns a return on equity of 16.0%. Net debt stands at 145M TWD. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 45.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 12.26 TWD (bear case) to 19.78 TWD (bull case); at 32.85 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -48%, 8038 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder 11.91 TWD 16.20 TWD 18.66 TWD 72
Growth-Adj P/E 29.38 TWD 41.97 TWD 54.57 TWD 68
P/E Multiple 14.44 TWD 19.25 TWD 24.07 TWD 63
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 24.42 TWD 48.38 TWD 96.85 TWD 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 6.23 TWD 43.48 TWD 61.02 TWD 54
Lynch FV 22.46 TWD 32.09 TWD 41.72 TWD 50
PEG = 1.0 22.46 TWD 32.09 TWD 41.72 TWD 46
EPV 10.02 TWD 10.86 TWD 11.58 TWD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 14.44 TWD 19.25 TWD 24.07 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 11.69 TWD 15.59 TWD 19.48 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 11.69 TWD 15.59 TWD 19.48 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 14.13 TWD 17.27 TWD 20.42 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 16.21 TWD 20.05 TWD 23.88 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 11.43 TWD 14.32 TWD 17.20 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.71 TWD 4.97 TWD 7.41 TWD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 6.83 TWD 8.09 TWD 16.92 TWD 61
ROIC Compounder 11.91 TWD 16.20 TWD 18.66 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 29.38 TWD 41.97 TWD 54.57 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (48.38 TWD) versus Asset-Based (4.97 TWD). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 724M TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +333%
Net margin 11.6%
Return on equity 16.0%
Free cash flow −38.0M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 40.8
More key figures
Operating margin 10.1%
EPS (TTM) 0.9200 TWD
Net debt 145M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Changs Ascending Enterprise Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sale of lithium-iron batteries and its materials in Taiwan. The company offers power and energy storage batteries. It is also involved in the patent licensing; technology transfer; and leasing and sales of battery module.

Full company description

Changs Ascending Enterprise Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sale of lithium-iron batteries and its materials in Taiwan. The company offers power and energy storage batteries. It is also involved in the patent licensing; technology transfer; and leasing and sales of battery module. The company was formerly known as Changs Enterprise Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Changs Ascending Enterprise Co., Ltd. in July 2000. Changs Ascending Enterprise Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Taichung, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Changs Ascending Enterprise Co reported revenue of 597M TWD in FY2025 versus 66.3M TWD in FY2021, a compound +73.2%/yr. Reported net income was 57.1M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
597M TWD
Latest YoY
+237.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+42.2%
Revenue +73.2%/yr
FY21 66.3M TWD
FY22 207M TWD
FY23 333M TWD
FY24 177M TWD
FY25 597M TWD
Net income
FY21 −121M TWD
FY22 −24.5M TWD
FY23 8.0K TWD
FY24 −96.2M TWD
FY25 57.1M TWD

8038 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Changs Ascending Enterprise Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8038

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 526 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −48% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 333% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 40.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.06× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.23× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 20.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 64 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Changs Ascending Enterprise Co (8038) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.98 TWD versus a price of 32.85 TWD, about −48% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8038?
Our model-based fair value for Changs Ascending Enterprise Co is 16.98 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 32.85 TWD.
What is the quality score of 8038?
Changs Ascending Enterprise Co has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Changs Ascending Enterprise Co (8038)?
Changs Ascending Enterprise Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 724M TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8038?
The net profit margin of Changs Ascending Enterprise Co is about 11.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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