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Palinda Group Holdings Ltd (8179) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$21.0M

PG Palinda Group Holdings Ltd 8179 · HK
PriceHK$0.0100
Fair ValueHK$0.0084
Upside-16.0%
Quality19/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -98.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0082 – HK$0.0086 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 16% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0086). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.0082 to HK$0.0086), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.3173 HK$0.0100 Fair Value HK$0.0084 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0100 – HK$0.3173 · fair‑value band HK$0.0082 – HK$0.0086 · the HK$0.0100 price screens above the HK$0.0084 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Palinda Group Holdings Ltd (8179) currently trades at HK$0.0100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0084, implying the stock looks roughly 16.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Palinda Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$100.0M at a net margin of -98.1%. Revenue declined 85.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -25.2%. Net debt stands at HK$117M. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0082 (bear case) to HK$0.0086 (bull case); at HK$0.0100, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -16%, 8179 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1800 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1800 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$100.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) -85.4%
Net margin -98.1%
Return on equity -25.2%
Free cash flow −HK$6.0M FY2025
Operating margin -258%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -98.0%
Net debt HK$117M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 19/100

Of which business quality 21 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 6
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Palinda Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale and distribution of wine products and ancillary wine-related products in Hong Kong and Australia. It operates through the Wine Business and Food Products Operations segments. The company offers wines under the Palinda brand.

Full company description

Palinda Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale and distribution of wine products and ancillary wine-related products in Hong Kong and Australia. It operates through the Wine Business and Food Products Operations segments. The company offers wines under the Palinda brand. It is also involved in the sale and distribution of food products and drinking water products. The company was formerly known as Food Idea Holdings Limited and changed its name to Palinda Group Holdings Limited in October 2020. Palinda Group Holdings Limited was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Hung Hom, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Palinda Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$100.0M in FY2025 versus HK$148M in FY2021, a compound −9.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$98.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$100.0M
Latest YoY
−78.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−27.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.1%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.5%
Revenue −9.3%/yr
FY21 HK$148M
FY22 HK$265M
FY23 HK$332M
FY24 HK$462M
FY25 HK$100.0M
Net income
FY21 −HK$63.2M
FY22 HK$6.7M
FY23 −HK$8.7M
FY24 HK$1.3M
FY25 −HK$98.0M

8179 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Palinda Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8179

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 652 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 21 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −16% · Below median
Return on assets -10% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -98% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -85% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 12 · sector 23
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,507 ₹362.37 -76%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,646 ₹1,870 -67%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,062 ₹327.27 -69%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 7,550 IDR 12,864 IDR +70%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,219,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -17%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹352.60 ₹144.77 -59%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 61,600 VND 52,858 VND -14%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,665 IDR 2,699 IDR +62%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,630 IDR 4,350 IDR -6%
Nongshim Co 004370 389,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Palinda Group Holdings Ltd (8179) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0084 versus a price of HK$0.0100, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8179?
Our model-based fair value for Palinda Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0084 (as of Aug 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0100.
What is the quality score of 8179?
Palinda Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Palinda Group Holdings Ltd (8179)?
Palinda Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$100.0M (latest available figure, as of Aug 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8179?
The net profit margin of Palinda Group Holdings Ltd is about -98.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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