GME Group Holdings Ltd (8188) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of GME Group Holdings Ltd HK$3.11, price HK$1.14, upside +174.0%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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GME Group Holdings Ltd
8188 · HKClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0415 – HK$1.37 · fair‑value band HK$1.38 – HK$3.89 · the HK$1.14 price screens below the HK$3.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
GME Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of underground construction services in Hong Kong.
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GME Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of underground construction services in Hong Kong. It provides tunnel construction services including excavation, shotcreting, shutter design and fabrication, and tunnel lining services, as well as shafts, advanced, and structural works; utility construction comprising construction and refurbishment of underground public utility works, such as road and drainage works; and other services comprising structural works and construction of service buildings and support structures. The company primarily serves main contractors in public sector infrastructure projects. GME Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
GME Group Holdings Ltd (8188) currently trades at HK$1.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.11, implying the stock looks roughly 63.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$7.80 per share, and 20 of the 25 models we run sit above the HK$1.14 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$1.00, and 5 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$1.38 (bear) to HK$3.89 (bull), the price of HK$1.14 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
GME Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$941M in FY2025 versus HK$444M in FY2021, a compound +20.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$87.3M in FY2025, compounding +70.0%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap HK$545M (≈ $69.4M) · P/E ratio 6.7 · P/S ratio 0.62 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.1100 · Dividend yield 7.9% · Net margin 9.3% · Return on equity 45.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 174%, 8188 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 25 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare GME Group Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 798 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quanta Services, Inc PWR | $649.13 | $162.77 | −75% |
| Vinci SA DG | €111.30 | €186.22 | +67% |
| Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX | $1,658 | $1,116 | −33% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,876 | ₹1,994 | −49% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 367,000 KRW | 159,718 KRW | −56% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | $55.77 | $21.74 | −61% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €397.20 | €203.86 | −49% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $762.21 | $525.05 | −31% |
| ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS | €93.60 | €62.20 | −34% |
| Bouygues SA EN | €43.14 | €66.31 | +54% |
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Key figures of GME Group Holdings Ltd
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