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Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd (8200) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$58.3M (≈ $7.4M) · ISIN KYG781652253

What is Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd really worth?

SS Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd 8200 · HK
PriceHK$0.7700
Fair ValueHK$0.5260
Upside−31.7%
Quality65/100

A solid business, but trading 46% above our fair value of HK$0.5260.

As of Aug 30, 2026, the fair value of Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd is HK$0.5260 per share against a price of HK$0.7700, so the fair value sits 32% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −12.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.5% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.4520 – HK$0.5704

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 30, 2026, revised from HK$0.5266 to HK$0.5260 (−0.1%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −1.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.5704). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.27 HK$0.3950 Fair Value HK$0.5260 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.3950 – HK$2.27 · fair‑value band HK$0.4520 – HK$0.5704 · the HK$0.7700 price screens above the HK$0.5260 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd (8200) currently trades at HK$0.7700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5260, implying the stock looks roughly 46.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 13 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$898M at a net margin of −0.5%. Revenue grew 6.7% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$334M. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4520 (bear case) to HK$0.5704 (bull case); at HK$0.7700, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −32%, 8200 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.0871 per share, which is 16.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$5.46 HK$5.83 HK$6.26 82
Growth DCF HK$5.48 HK$5.81 HK$6.18 80
Owner Earnings HK$4.20 HK$4.21 HK$4.21 78
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$5.46 HK$5.83 HK$6.26 82
Owner Earnings HK$4.20 HK$4.21 HK$4.21 78
5Y Revenue Exit HK$5.52 HK$6.15 HK$6.91 74
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$5.54 HK$6.17 HK$6.87 77
10Y Revenue Exit HK$5.45 HK$5.95 HK$6.54 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$5.49 HK$5.96 HK$6.51 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.6400 HK$0.9100 HK$1.16 69
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.6400 HK$0.8500 HK$1.05 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$5.81 HK$6.35 HK$6.88 67
EV/Revenue HK$5.68 HK$6.31 HK$6.95 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$4.53 HK$6.07 HK$9.06 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$5.48 HK$5.81 HK$6.18 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$5.52 HK$6.17 HK$6.86 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$6.31) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.8500). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.06 TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$0.2000
Dividend yield 12.4% payout 47.7%
Net margin −0.5% FY2026
Return on assets (EBIT) −1.2% avg 5y
Operating margin −5.0% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$898M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.7% 3y avg −10.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$12.9M FY2026
Net cash HK$334M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Sau San Tong Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, distributes and sells cosmetic and skin care products in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Sau San Tong Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, distributes and sells cosmetic and skin care products in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. It also provides beauty and slimming services, such as whole and partial body slimming, weight management, body treatment, and facial treatment services through its slimming centers operated under the Sau San Tong and IPRO brand names. In addition, the company involved in the sale of other health and beauty products; money lending; and investment in securities. Further, the company holds properties; provision of management consultancy, advertising agency, and franchise services; and a proprietary internet platform to promote and sell slimming beauty, and health related services and products. Sau San Tong Holdings Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$898M in FY2026 versus HK$1.6B in FY2022, a compound −12.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$4.8M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$898M
Latest YoY
+6.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (22Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.0%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.3% (2021) → 0.0% (2026)
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −12.9%/yr
FY22 HK$1.6B
FY23 HK$1.2B
FY24 HK$1.1B
FY25 HK$840M
FY26 HK$898M
Net income
FY22 HK$9.0M
FY23 −HK$13.9M
FY24 −HK$14.3M
FY25 −HK$52.0M
FY26 −HK$4.8M

8200 screens 46% overvalued. Compare with L'Oréal S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8200.HK

Peer Group

Household & Personal Products · 245 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Above median
Fair Value upside −31% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 12.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 27
FUTURE34 · sector 9
PAST0 · sector 27
HEALTH99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND100 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
L'Oréal S.A LORL C$24.76 C$22.64 −9%
Unilever PLC UNA €55.92 €40.47 −28%
Colgate-Palmolive Company CL $90.75 $55.28 −39%
500696 500696 ₹2,093 ₹641.55 −69%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹2,015 ₹789.46 −61%
Kenvue Inc KVUE $18.95 $10.97 −42%
Kimberly-Clark Corporation KMB $109.55 $79.71 −27%
Henkel AG HEN3 €76.42 €85.95 +12%
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc ESLA €86.54 €18.84 −78%
Church & Dwight Co CHD $101.26 $65.12 −36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd (8200) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.5260 versus a price of HK$0.7700, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8200?
Our model-based fair value for Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd is HK$0.5260 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.7700.
What is the quality score of 8200?
Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd (8200)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.5260 (as of Aug 30, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.4520, optimistic scenario HK$0.5704. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.5260, about −32% upside versus a price of HK$0.7700 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.4520, optimistic scenario HK$0.5704. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd (8200)?
Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$898M (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8200?
The net profit margin of Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd is about −0.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Sau San Tong Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 12.39% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 30, 2026).
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