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The Estée Lauder Companies Inc (ESLA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · AT · Market cap €28.0B

Price€73.46
Fair Value€33.04
Upside-55.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range €15.45 – €58.68

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc (ESLA) currently trades at €73.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €33.04 — implying the stock looks roughly 55.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products worldwide. The company offers skin care products, including moisturizers, serums, cleansers, toners, eye care, body care, exfoliators, acne care and oil correctors, facial masks, and sun care products; and makeup products, such as foundations, powders, concealers and setting sprays, lipsticks, lip liners and lip glosses, mascaras, and eyeshadows and eyeliners, as well as compacts, brushes, and other makeup tools. It also provides fragrance products in various forms comprising parfum, eau de parfum, eau de toilette, eau de cologne, and body spray, as well as lotions, creams, powders, candles and soaps; and hair care products, including shampoos, conditioners, styling products, treatment, finishing sprays, and hair colour products, as well as sells ancillary products and services. The company offers its products under the La Mer, Jo Malone London, TOM FORD, AERIN Beaut…

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Estée Lauder Companies Inc (ESLA) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €33.04 versus a price of €73.46 — about −55% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ESLA?
Our 21-model fair value for The Estée Lauder Companies Inc is €33.04 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €73.46.
What is the quality score of ESLA?
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.