Ying Kee Tea House Group Ltd (8241) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$61.1M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −1.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0900). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0100 to HK$0.0900). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0880 – HK$0.3000 · fair‑value band HK$0.0100 – HK$0.0900 · the HK$0.1740 price screens above the HK$0.0400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Ying Kee Tea House Group Ltd (8241) currently trades at HK$0.1740, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0400, implying the stock looks roughly 77.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ying Kee Tea House Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$29.5M at a net margin of -51.1%. Revenue declined 6.6% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$90.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0100 (bear case) to HK$0.0900 (bull case); at HK$0.1740, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 118% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -77%, 8241 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.0400) versus DCF Models (HK$0.0400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ying Kee Tea House Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the retail trading of tea products for individual and corporate customers in Hong Kong.
Full company description
Ying Kee Tea House Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the retail trading of tea products for individual and corporate customers in Hong Kong. The company offers various tea products, including pu-erh, green, black, old luk on, white, oolong, jasmine, and fragrant teas, as well as miscellaneous products; and tea wares, gift sets, and Chinese leaves. It is also involved in property holding business. The company was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Siu Sai Wan, Hong Kong. Ying Kee Tea House Group Limited is a subsidiary of Profit Ocean Enterprises Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ying Kee Tea House Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$30.3M in FY2025 versus HK$36.1M in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$16.9M in FY2025.
8241 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 652 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,507 | ₹362.37 | -76% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,646 | ₹1,870 | -67% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,062 | ₹327.27 | -69% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 7,550 IDR | 12,864 IDR | +70% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,219,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -17% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹352.60 | ₹144.77 | -59% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 61,600 VND | 52,858 VND | -14% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,665 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +62% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,630 IDR | 4,350 IDR | -6% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 389,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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