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8246 (8246) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · Market cap HK$415M

8 8246 8246 · HK
PriceHK$0.7000
Fair ValueHK$0.3800
Upside-45.7%
Quality49/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.3100 – HK$0.4500

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated today

Share price −11.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$1.27 HK$0.5440 Fair Value HK$0.3800 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.5440 – HK$1.27 · fair‑value band HK$0.3100 – HK$0.4500 · the HK$0.7000 price screens above the HK$0.3800 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

8246 (8246) currently trades at HK$0.7000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3800 — implying the stock looks roughly 45.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, 8246 generated revenue of HK$78.5M at a net margin of -30.0%. Revenue declined 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$87.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$78.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.6%
Net margin -30.0%
Return on equity -14.8%
Free cash flow HK$73.6M FY2025
Operating margin -18.3%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -78.0%
Net cash HK$87.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

8246 reported revenue of HK$75.7M in FY2025 versus HK$421M in FY2021, a compound −34.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$22.7M in FY2025.

Revenue −34.9%/yr
FY21 HK$421M
FY22 HK$201M
FY23 HK$187M
FY24 HK$89.2M
FY25 HK$75.7M
Net income
FY21 −HK$191M
FY22 −HK$5.3M
FY23 −HK$6.7M
FY24 −HK$49.1M
FY25 −HK$22.7M

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Similar stocks

6 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group GASNY $6.50 $7.20 +11%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $169.59 $78.59 -54%
Snam S.p.A SRG €6.37 €3.37 -47%
Uniper SE UN0 €45.45 €33.83 -26%
NiSource Inc NI $46.61 $34.64 -26%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company HOKCY $0.8100 $0.5500 -32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 8246 (8246) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3800 versus a price of HK$0.7000 — about −46% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 8246?
Our model-based fair value for 8246 is HK$0.3800 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.7000.
What is the quality score of 8246?
8246 has a Quality Score of 49/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 8246 (8246)?
8246 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$78.5M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8246?
The net profit margin of 8246 is about -30.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.