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Zhejiang RuiYuan Intelligent Control Technology Company (8249) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$32.5M

ZR Zhejiang RuiYuan Intelligent Control Technology Company 8249 · HK
PriceHK$0.0650
Fair ValueHK$0.0878
Upside+35.1%
Quality47/100

Strengths

Trades 26% below our fair value of HK$0.0878
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −10.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.5% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 8/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −10.9 %/yr)
Loss-making · -6.5% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.0683 – HK$0.1073 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday

Below-average quality, trading 26% below our fair value.

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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0683). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.2700 HK$0.0450 Fair Value HK$0.0878 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0450 – HK$0.2700 · fair‑value band HK$0.0683 – HK$0.1073 · the HK$0.0650 price screens below the HK$0.0878 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang RuiYuan Intelligent Control Technology Company (8249) currently trades at HK$0.0650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0878, implying the stock looks roughly 35.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang RuiYuan Intelligent Control Technology Company generated revenue of HK$20.2M at a net margin of -6.5%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$2.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0683 (bear case) to HK$0.1073 (bull case); at HK$0.0650, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and 132% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -66% fair-value upside, at 35%, 8249 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 74
EV/Revenue HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 43
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.0800) versus DCF Models (HK$0.0600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 1.63 TTM
Net margin -6.5% TTM
Return on assets -10.9% TTM
Operating margin -5.6% TTM
Revenue (TTM) HK$20.2M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.6% 3y avg -14.4%
More key figures
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$3.2M FY2025
Net debt HK$2.4M FY2025 · ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Zhejiang RuiYuan Intelligent Control Technology Company Limited sells controller systems for electronic equipment and components in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Sales of Controller Systems for Electronic Products and Sales of Mechanical Products segments.

Full company description

Zhejiang RuiYuan Intelligent Control Technology Company Limited sells controller systems for electronic equipment and components in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Sales of Controller Systems for Electronic Products and Sales of Mechanical Products segments. The company designs, manufactures, and sells computer numerical control (CNC) machine tools optical and mechanical products. It is also involved in subassembly for electronic appliances, as well as research, development, manufacture, and sale of robots, automation control equipment, electronic components, instruments and meters, communication terminal equipment, and electronic computer external equipment and other products. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. Zhejiang RuiYuan Intelligent Control Technology Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Zhejiang Ruiyuan Intelligent Robot Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang RuiYuan Intelligent Control Technology Company reported revenue of HK$20.2M in FY2025 versus HK$36.5M in FY2021, a compound −13.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 15/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$20.2M
Latest YoY
−9.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.8%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −13.8%/yr
FY21 HK$36.5M
FY22 HK$32.2M
FY23 HK$21.8M
FY24 HK$22.3M
FY25 HK$20.2M
Net income
FY21 −HK$4.0M
FY22 −HK$4.6M
FY23 −HK$3.5M
FY24 −HK$1.3M
FY25 −HK$1.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang RuiYuan Intelligent Control Technology Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8249.HK

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 651 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +39% · Top 25%
Return on assets -11% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE85 · sector 0
FUTURE58 · sector 37
PAST0 · sector 24
HEALTH100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND1 · sector 25

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $169.96 $97.19 -43%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 134.64 CHF 35.18 -74%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,750 TWD 602.37 TWD -66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 -31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW -88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 -90%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $214.20 $144.42 -33%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.80 ¥36.30 -73%
Flex Ltd FLEX $124.53 $48.10 -61%
Celestica Inc CLS $339.46 $113.54 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang RuiYuan Intelligent Control Technology Company (8249) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0878 versus a price of HK$0.0650, about +35% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8249?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang RuiYuan Intelligent Control Technology Company is HK$0.0878 (as of Aug 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0650.
What is the quality score of 8249?
Zhejiang RuiYuan Intelligent Control Technology Company has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang RuiYuan Intelligent Control Technology Company (8249)?
Zhejiang RuiYuan Intelligent Control Technology Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$20.2M (latest available figure, as of Aug 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8249?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang RuiYuan Intelligent Control Technology Company is about -6.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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