Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Public Packages Holdings Bhd MYR 2.08, price MYR 0.69, upside +201.5%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.4536 MYR – 1.15 MYR · fair‑value band 1.52 MYR – 2.86 MYR · the 0.6900 MYR price screens below the 2.08 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Public Packages Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the production and sale of paper packaging products in Malaysia, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Investment, Manufacturing, Property, Trading, and Hospitality segments.
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Public Packages Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the production and sale of paper packaging products in Malaysia, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Investment, Manufacturing, Property, Trading, and Hospitality segments. The company manufactures and retails corrugated cartons, packing materials, and gift and display boxes; manufactures offset printed display boxes; and designs and sells paper, as well as trades in paper products. It also provides financial, administrative, advisory, and management services; branding, design and packaging; customised packaging solutions; supply chain management solutions, such as graphic and structural design, printing and packaging, digital pre-press, media duplication, kitting, warehousing, inventory management, distribution, and creative services. In addition, the company is involved in the property investment; and management and operation of hotels and restaurants. Public Packages Holdings Berhad was incorporated in 1976 and is based in Bayan Lepas, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273) currently trades at 0.6900 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.08 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 66.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 2.21 MYR per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the 0.6900 MYR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1.19 MYR, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1.52 MYR (bear) to 2.86 MYR (bull), the price of 0.6900 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Public Packages Holdings Bhd reported revenue of 200M MYR in FY2025 versus 197M MYR in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 41.6M MYR in FY2025, compounding +15.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 184M MYR (≈ $45.1M) · P/E ratio 4.3 · P/S ratio 0.90 · EPS (TTM) 0.1600 MYR · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 20.8% · Return on equity 9.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 201%, 8273 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.52 MYRFair Value 2.08 MYRBull 2.86 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1116 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.2% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+13.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12% vs 10%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 23%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Public Packages Holdings Bhd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+200% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Public Packages Holdings Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8273
Frequently asked questions
Is Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.08 MYR versus a price of 0.6900 MYR, about +201% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8273?
Our model-based fair value for Public Packages Holdings Bhd is 2.08 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.6900 MYR.
What is the quality score of 8273?
Public Packages Holdings Bhd has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.08 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.52 MYR, optimistic scenario 2.86 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Public Packages Holdings Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.08 MYR, about +201% upside versus a price of 0.6900 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1.52 MYR, optimistic scenario 2.86 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
Public Packages Holdings Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 202M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Public Packages Holdings Bhd pay a dividend?
Public Packages Holdings Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Public Packages Holdings Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8273 use?
Our models discount Public Packages Holdings Bhd at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.39, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Public Packages Holdings Bhd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Public Packages Holdings Bhd grew +1.0 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Public Packages Holdings Bhd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 22.55 %: that much free cash flow Public Packages Holdings Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Public Packages Holdings Bhd it is 2.08 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.6900 MYR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Public Packages Holdings Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 8273 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.6900 MYR, fair value 2.08 MYR, a gap of about +201% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8273?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.6900 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.08 MYR). For Public Packages Holdings Bhd the two are 1.39 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Public Packages Holdings Bhd worth?
The market values Public Packages Holdings Bhd at about 184M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.6900 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 2.08 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8273?
Our models span a range for Public Packages Holdings Bhd: cautious scenario 1.52 MYR, base 2.08 MYR, optimistic 2.86 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.6900 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8273?
Public Packages Holdings Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2.08 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
Balance-sheet figures for Public Packages Holdings Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.1%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8273 from its 52-week high?
Public Packages Holdings Bhd trades at 0.6900 MYR, about 4% below its 52-week high of 0.7200 MYR and 13% above the low of 0.6128 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.08 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Public Packages Holdings Bhd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Public Packages Holdings Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.6900 MYR, calculated fair value 2.08 MYR (+201%), Quality Score 66/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8273 calculated?
We run Public Packages Holdings Bhd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.08 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Public Packages Holdings Bhd currently trades 201 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 0.6900 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 2.08 MYR, about +201% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Public Packages Holdings Bhd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.52 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (1.52 MYR to 2.86 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Public Packages Holdings Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
The market capitalisation of Public Packages Holdings Bhd is 184M MYR (≈ $45.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Public Packages Holdings Bhd is 0.90 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
Earnings per share at Public Packages Holdings Bhd are 0.1600 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
The dividend yield of Public Packages Holdings Bhd is 1.2% (payout 5.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
The net margin of Public Packages Holdings Bhd is 20.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Public Packages Holdings Bhd is 9.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Public Packages Holdings Bhd is 10.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
The operating margin of Public Packages Holdings Bhd is 19.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
Revenue at Public Packages Holdings Bhd is growing +4.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Public Packages Holdings Bhd (8273)?
Earnings per share at Public Packages Holdings Bhd are growing +0.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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