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Public Packages Holdings (8273) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · MY · Market cap 171M MYR

PP Public Packages Holdings 8273 · KLSE
Price0.6450 MYR
Fair Value1.87 MYR
Upside+189.9%
Quality66/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 20.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.25% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/13)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range 1.41 MYR – 2.38 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +0.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 190% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.41 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.15 MYR 0.4536 MYR Fair Value 1.87 MYR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.4536 MYR – 1.15 MYR · fair‑value band 1.41 MYR – 2.38 MYR · the 0.6450 MYR price screens below the 1.87 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Public Packages Holdings (8273) currently trades at 0.6450 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.87 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 189.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Public Packages Holdings generated revenue of 202M MYR at a net margin of 20.6%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 4.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.41 MYR (bear case) to 2.38 MYR (bull case); at 0.6450 MYR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 190%, 8273 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1.28 MYR 1.54 MYR 1.92 MYR 80
Residual Income 1.34 MYR 1.39 MYR 1.43 MYR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 1.02 MYR 1.36 MYR 1.77 MYR 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1.26 MYR 1.54 MYR 1.97 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 1.44 MYR 1.76 MYR 2.26 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1.02 MYR 1.33 MYR 1.76 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1.37 MYR 1.93 MYR 2.64 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 1.55 MYR 2.24 MYR 3.02 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 1.11 MYR 1.37 MYR 1.66 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 1.31 MYR 1.71 MYR 2.16 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 1.40 MYR 1.88 MYR 2.38 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.06 MYR 1.90 MYR 2.35 MYR 54
EPV 1.10 MYR 1.22 MYR 1.32 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0300 MYR 0.0300 MYR 0.0400 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0300 MYR 0.0300 MYR 0.0400 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.99 MYR 2.65 MYR 3.32 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 0.8400 MYR 1.13 MYR 1.41 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 1.99 MYR 2.65 MYR 3.32 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 1.92 MYR 2.53 MYR 3.14 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 1.68 MYR 2.21 MYR 2.75 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 0.8700 MYR 1.21 MYR 1.55 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.8900 MYR 1.19 MYR 1.77 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1.28 MYR 1.54 MYR 1.92 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1.02 MYR 1.36 MYR 1.77 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.34 MYR 1.39 MYR 1.43 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 1.10 MYR 1.22 MYR 1.32 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.42 MYR 2.03 MYR 2.63 MYR 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (2.21 MYR) versus Dividend Discount (0.0300 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 202M MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.7%
Net margin 20.6%
Return on equity 9.1%
Free cash flow 41.5M MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 4.0
More key figures
Operating margin 19.7%
EPS (TTM) 0.1600 MYR
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +0.3%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Public Packages Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the production and sale of paper packaging products in Malaysia, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Investment, Manufacturing, Property, Trading, and Hospitality segments.

Full company description

Public Packages Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the production and sale of paper packaging products in Malaysia, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Investment, Manufacturing, Property, Trading, and Hospitality segments. The company manufactures and retails corrugated cartons, packing materials, and gift and display boxes; manufactures offset printed display boxes; and designs and sells paper, as well as trades in paper products. It also provides financial, administrative, advisory, and management services; branding, design and packaging; customised packaging solutions; supply chain management solutions, such as graphic and structural design, printing and packaging, digital pre-press, media duplication, kitting, warehousing, inventory management, distribution, and creative services. In addition, the company is involved in the property investment; and management and operation of hotels and restaurants. Public Packages Holdings Berhad was incorporated in 1976 and is based in Bayan Lepas, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Public Packages Holdings reported revenue of 200M MYR in FY2025 versus 197M MYR in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 41.6M MYR in FY2025, compounding +15.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
200M MYR
Latest YoY
−3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Revenue +0.4%/yr
FY21 197M MYR
FY22 224M MYR
FY23 210M MYR
FY24 207M MYR
FY25 200M MYR
Net income +15.2%/yr
FY21 23.7M MYR
FY22 38.5M MYR
FY23 48.5M MYR
FY24 41.0M MYR
FY25 41.6M MYR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Public Packages Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8273

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +190% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 9
FUTURE 24 · sector 1
PAST 36 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 25 · sector 42

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Public Packages Holdings (8273) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.87 MYR versus a price of 0.6450 MYR, about +190% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8273?
Our model-based fair value for Public Packages Holdings is 1.87 MYR (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.6450 MYR.
What is the quality score of 8273?
Public Packages Holdings has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Public Packages Holdings (8273)?
Public Packages Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 202M MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8273?
The net profit margin of Public Packages Holdings is about 20.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Public Packages Holdings pay a dividend?
Public Packages Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.23% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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