Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Quantong Holdings Ltd HK$0.05, price HK$0.23, upside -78.5%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1100 – HK$2.39 · fair‑value band HK$0.0400 – HK$0.0700 · the HK$0.2320 price screens above the HK$0.0500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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China Hongbao Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a foundation subcontractor for private and public sectors in Hong Kong and People's Republic of China. The company operates through Foundation and other Construction Works, Internet Services, and Supply and Installation of New Energy Charging Piles segments.
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China Hongbao Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a foundation subcontractor for private and public sectors in Hong Kong and People's Republic of China. The company operates through Foundation and other Construction Works, Internet Services, and Supply and Installation of New Energy Charging Piles segments. It involved in the rental of machinery; provision of machinery repair and maintenance; provision of O2O commerce; and supply of chain management services; and supply construction materials, such as cement, machinery spare parts and loose tools, diesel fuel, and steel pile and casing. The company was formerly known as Quantong Holdings Limited and changed its name to China Hongbao Holdings Limited in August 2022. China Hongbao Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316) currently trades at HK$0.2320, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0500, 78.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.1000 per share, and 0 of the 8 models we run sit above the HK$0.2320 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0100, and 8 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0400 (bear) to HK$0.0700 (bull), the price of HK$0.2320 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Quantong Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$116M in FY2026 versus HK$76.9M in FY2022, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$4.6M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap HK$221M (≈ $28.2M) · P/S ratio 1.81 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0200 · Net margin 4.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −24.1% · Operating margin 7.9% · Revenue (TTM) HK$116M · Revenue growth (YoY) +46.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −78%, 8316 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (HK$0.0100 to HK$0.1000). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear HK$0.0400Fair Value HK$0.0500Bull HK$0.0700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.30/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+43.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.8% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 802 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−78.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−7.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)4.0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)7.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth46.3% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.81× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.24× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 13
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0500 versus a price of HK$0.2320, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8316?
Our model-based fair value for Quantong Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0500 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2320.
What is the quality score of 8316?
Quantong Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0500 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0400, optimistic scenario HK$0.0700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Quantong Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0500, about −78% upside versus a price of HK$0.2320 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0400, optimistic scenario HK$0.0700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316)?
Quantong Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$116M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Quantong Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.0500 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2320. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Quantong Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8316 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2320, fair value HK$0.0500, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8316?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2320); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0500). For Quantong Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.1820 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Quantong Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Quantong Holdings Ltd at about HK$221M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2320; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8316?
Our models span a range for Quantong Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0400, base HK$0.0500, optimistic HK$0.0700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2320). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 8316 from its 52-week high?
Quantong Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.2320, about 17% below its 52-week high of HK$0.2800 and 68% above the low of HK$0.1380 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Quantong Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Quantong Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2320, calculated fair value HK$0.0500 (−78%), Quality Score 47/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8316 calculated?
We run Quantong Holdings Ltd through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Quantong Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2320. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0500, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Quantong Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Quantong Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316)?
The market capitalisation of Quantong Holdings Ltd is HK$221M (≈ $28.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Quantong Holdings Ltd is 1.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316)?
Earnings per share at Quantong Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316)?
The net margin of Quantong Holdings Ltd is 4.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Quantong Holdings Ltd is −24.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316)?
The operating margin of Quantong Holdings Ltd is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316)?
Revenue at Quantong Holdings Ltd is growing +46.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316) generate?
The free cash flow of Quantong Holdings Ltd is −HK$26.1M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316) hold?
Quantong Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$11.4M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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