Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$224M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −3.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2200). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1100 – HK$2.39 · fair‑value band HK$0.1300 – HK$0.2200 · the HK$0.2270 price screens above the HK$0.1700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Quantong Holdings Ltd (8316) currently trades at HK$0.2270, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1700, implying the stock looks roughly 25.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Quantong Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$116M at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue grew 46.3% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$18.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1300 (bear case) to HK$0.2200 (bull case); at HK$0.2270, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -25%, 8316 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.2400) versus Multiples (HK$0.1900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Hongbao Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a foundation subcontractor for private and public sectors in Hong Kong and People's Republic of China. The company operates through Foundation and other Construction Works, Internet Services, and Supply and Installation of New Energy Charging Piles segments.
Full company description
China Hongbao Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a foundation subcontractor for private and public sectors in Hong Kong and People's Republic of China. The company operates through Foundation and other Construction Works, Internet Services, and Supply and Installation of New Energy Charging Piles segments. It involved in the rental of machinery; provision of machinery repair and maintenance; provision of O2O commerce; and supply of chain management services; and supply construction materials, such as cement, machinery spare parts and loose tools, diesel fuel, and steel pile and casing. The company was formerly known as Quantong Holdings Limited and changed its name to China Hongbao Holdings Limited in August 2022. China Hongbao Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Quantong Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$80.9M in FY2025 versus HK$105M in FY2021, a compound −6.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$9.7M in FY2025.
8316 screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹4,020 | ₹1,994 | -50% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 357,500 KRW | 261,411 KRW | -27% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 113,700 KRW | 61,453 KRW | -46% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 49,300 KRW | 43,624 KRW | -12% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹230.00 | ₹48.92 | -79% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 18,400 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -65% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 99,800 KRW | 19,346 KRW | -81% |
| GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 | 35,200 KRW | 23,135 KRW | -34% |
| DL E&C Co 375500 | 73,500 KRW | 148,433 KRW | +102% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 | 46,350 KRW | 43,924 KRW | -5% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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