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1 Production Film Co. (8458) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of 1 Production Film Co. TWD 6.40, price TWD 13.35, upside -52.1%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Communication Services · TW · ISIN TW0008458001

1P Thin data Sep 24, 2026

1 Production Film Co.

8458 · TWO

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 6.40 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−52%)
!Quality 37/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -17.4% net margin (FY2025)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

28.11 TWD 12.80 TWD Fair Value 6.40 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 12.80 TWD – 28.11 TWD · fair‑value band 4.68 TWD – 7.86 TWD · the 13.35 TWD price screens above the 6.40 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

1 Production Film Co. engages in film, TV, and music production business in Taiwan. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Taipei City, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

1 Production Film Co. (8458) currently trades at 13.35 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6.40 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 108.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 10.47 TWD per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the 13.35 TWD price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 5.52 TWD, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 4.68 TWD (bear) to 7.86 TWD (bull), the price of 13.35 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

1 Production Film Co. reported revenue of 59.1M TWD in FY2025 versus 19.4M TWD in FY2021, a compound +32.1%/yr. Reported net income was −10.3M TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 479M TWD (≈ $15.0M) · EPS (TTM) −0.2900 TWD · Net margin −17.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.5% · Free cash flow −25.4M TWD · Net cash 150M TWD.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −52%, 8458 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 4.68 TWD Fair Value 6.40 TWD Bull 7.86 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 6.46 TWD 10.47 TWD 18.59 TWD 71
EV/EBITDA 5.37 TWD 6.11 TWD 6.84 TWD 64
NCAV (Graham) 4.12 TWD 5.52 TWD 8.24 TWD 51
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 6.46 TWD 10.47 TWD 18.59 TWD 71
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 5.37 TWD 6.11 TWD 6.84 TWD 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.12 TWD 5.52 TWD 8.24 TWD 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 2
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 32
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 31/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−32.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.2% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−51.4% (2020) → −16.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

8458 screens 109% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

Compare 1 Production Film Co. with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 263 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −50% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −17% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $72.16 $79.38 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $103.46 $100.87 −3%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.83 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $169.84 $64.71 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.55 €16.00 +10%
TKO Group TKO $188.87 $95.50 −49%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.62 $104.08 +10%
Fox Corporation FOXA $63.96 $89.49 +40%
Roku, Inc ROKU $153.49 $42.88 −72%
News Corporation NWS A$45.40 A$29.85 −34%

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1 Production Film Co. · Fair Value
6.40 TWD −109%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "1 Production Film Co. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8458

Frequently asked questions

Is 1 Production Film Co. (8458) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6.40 TWD versus a price of 13.35 TWD, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8458?
Our model-based fair value for 1 Production Film Co. is 6.40 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 13.35 TWD.
What is the quality score of 8458?
1 Production Film Co. has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for 1 Production Film Co. (8458)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 6.40 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4.68 TWD, optimistic scenario 7.86 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the 1 Production Film Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 6.40 TWD, about −52% upside versus a price of 13.35 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 4.68 TWD, optimistic scenario 7.86 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of 1 Production Film Co. (8458)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For 1 Production Film Co. it is 6.40 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 13.35 TWD. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is 1 Production Film Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 8458 trades above its calculated fair value: price 13.35 TWD, fair value 6.40 TWD, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8458?
No. The price is what the market pays today (13.35 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (6.40 TWD). For 1 Production Film Co. the two are 6.95 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is 1 Production Film Co. worth?
The market values 1 Production Film Co. at about 479M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 13.35 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 6.40 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8458?
Our models span a range for 1 Production Film Co.: cautious scenario 4.68 TWD, base 6.40 TWD, optimistic 7.86 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 13.35 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 8458 from its 52-week high?
1 Production Film Co. trades at 13.35 TWD, about 42% below its 52-week high of 23.20 TWD and 4% above the low of 12.80 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 6.40 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to 1 Production Film Co.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is 1 Production Film Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 13.35 TWD, calculated fair value 6.40 TWD (−52%), Quality Score 37/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8458 calculated?
We run 1 Production Film Co. through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 6.40 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. 1 Production Film Co. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of 1 Production Film Co. (8458)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 13.35 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 6.40 TWD, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with 1 Production Film Co. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (7.86 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of 1 Production Film Co.

How large is the market capitalisation of 1 Production Film Co. (8458)?
The market capitalisation of 1 Production Film Co. is 479M TWD (≈ $15.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of 1 Production Film Co. (8458)?
Earnings per share at 1 Production Film Co. are −0.2900 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of 1 Production Film Co. (8458)?
The net margin of 1 Production Film Co. is −17.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of 1 Production Film Co. (8458)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of 1 Production Film Co. is −3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does 1 Production Film Co. (8458) generate?
The free cash flow of 1 Production Film Co. is −25.4M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does 1 Production Film Co. (8458) hold?
1 Production Film Co. holds more cash than debt, 150M TWD net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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