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Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd HK$0.17, price HK$0.30, upside -43.3%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG0862U1031

BG Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd

8460 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.1700 · Strongly overvalued (−43.3%)

!Quality 32/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −14.5 %/yr)

!Loss-making · -12.8% net margin (TTM)

!Low debt · negative free cash flow

!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)

!Narrow moat 0/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear HK$0.1190 to bull HK$0.2210 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 32/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0340 – HK$3.00 · fair‑value band HK$0.1190 – HK$0.2210 · the HK$0.3000 price screens above the HK$0.1700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Basetrophy Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a substructure subcontractor in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Foundation and Related Works Business; and Alcoholic Beverages Trading Business segments. It provides foundation works, including excavation and lateral support, sheet piling, pipe piling, pre-boring, pre-bored H-piling, mini-piling, and bored piling works; site formation works; and other geotechnical engineering works, such as slope works and shotcreting. The company also trades in and distributes alcoholic beverages. The company has a strategic partnership with Guangdong Haidaohong Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd. Basetrophy Group Holdings Limited was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460) currently trades at HK$0.3000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1700, 43.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1190 (bear) to HK$0.2210 (bull), the price of HK$0.3000 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$49.7M in FY2025 versus HK$88.8M in FY2021, a compound −13.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$6.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$101M (≈ $12.9M) · P/S ratio 1.49 · Net margin −12.9% · Return on equity −19.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.8% · Operating margin −3.6% · Revenue (TTM) HK$67.7M · Revenue growth (YoY) +93.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 90% below its 52-week high and 417% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −43%, 8460 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1190 Fair Value HK$0.1700 Bull HK$0.2210

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1100 HK$0.1500 HK$0.2300 53

All 1 models by family

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1100 HK$0.1500 HK$0.2300 53

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 6

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 20

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 25

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 74

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 100

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 50

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 33

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 54

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 0

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100

Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Revenue growth 1 year

−49.8%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−16.9%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−14.5%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.1% a year

Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−0.7%

’14

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−3.1% (2020) → −25.3% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

8460 screens overvalued: fair value 43% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 798 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −43.3% · Below median

Profitability

Return on assets −9.7% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) −12.8% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (TTM) −3.6% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 93.5% · Top 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.21× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 27

FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 13

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28

HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 94

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Samsung C&T Corporation 028260	367,000 KRW	159,718 KRW	−56%
Ferrovial N.V FER	$55.77	$21.74	−61%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT	€397.20	€203.86	−49%
EMCOR Group EME	$762.21	$525.05	−31%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS	€93.60	€62.20	−34%
Bouygues SA EN	€43.14	€66.31	+54%

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Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.1700 −43%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8460" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$0.1700</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−43%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8460

Frequently asked questions

Is Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1700 versus a price of HK$0.3000, about −43% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 8460?

Our model-based fair value for Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.1700 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3000.

What is the quality score of 8460?

Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1700 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1190, optimistic scenario HK$0.2210. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$0.1700, about −43% upside versus a price of HK$0.3000 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1190, optimistic scenario HK$0.2210. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460)?

Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$67.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.1700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3000. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, 8460 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3000, fair value HK$0.1700, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 8460?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1700). For Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.1300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd worth?

The market values Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$101M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3000; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1700 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8460?

Our models span a range for Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1190, base HK$0.1700, optimistic HK$0.2210 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.3000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460)?

Balance-sheet figures for Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −19.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 8460 from its 52-week high?

Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.3000, about 90% below its 52-week high of HK$3.00 and 417% above the low of HK$0.0580 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1700 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.3000, calculated fair value HK$0.1700 (−43%), Quality Score 32/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 8460 calculated?

We run Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460)?

The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.3000. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1700, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2210). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1190 to HK$0.2210) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460)?

The market capitalisation of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd is HK$101M (≈ $12.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd is 1.49 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What is the net margin of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460)?

The net margin of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd is −12.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd is −19.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd is −7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460)?

The operating margin of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd is −3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460)?

Revenue at Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd is growing +93.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460)?

Earnings per share at Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd are growing −18.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460) generate?

The free cash flow of Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd is −HK$2.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd (8460) hold?

Basetrophy Group Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$18.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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