Lion Forest Industries Bhd (8486) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · MY · Market cap 63.8M MYR
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 0.0700 MYR to 0.1400 MYR (+100.0%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +5.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 114% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.1800 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1900 MYR – 0.8300 MYR · fair‑value band 0.1000 MYR – 0.1800 MYR · the 0.3000 MYR price screens above the 0.1400 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Lion Forest Industries Bhd (8486) currently trades at 0.3000 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1400 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 53.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Lion Forest Industries Bhd generated revenue of 697M MYR at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue declined 17.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.1000 MYR (bear case) to 0.1800 MYR (bull case); at 0.3000 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -53%, 8486 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (2.24 MYR) versus Earnings-Based (0.0400 MYR). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Lion Posim Berhad, an investment holding company, trades in and distributes building materials, steel, petroleum, and automotive products in Malaysia and internationally. It operates through three segments: Building Materials and Steel Products; Lubricants, Petroleum and Automotive Products; and Others.
Full company description
Lion Posim Berhad, an investment holding company, trades in and distributes building materials, steel, petroleum, and automotive products in Malaysia and internationally. It operates through three segments: Building Materials and Steel Products; Lubricants, Petroleum and Automotive Products; and Others. The company is involved in trading and distribution of building materials, including sanitary wares, tap fittings, tiles, and ironmongery products; steel products; petroleum-based products, including automotive and industrial lubricants under the HI-REV, torQe, and T-Trax brands; and automotive components. It also engages in the manufacture of petroleum products; distribution and retailing of consumer products, such as premium hair brushes, body care products, and fragrances for men and women; provision of training services; investment and development in agriculture; and property development. The company was formerly known as Lion Forest Industries Berhad and changed its name to Lion Posim Berhad in December 2019. The company was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Shah Alam, Malaysia. Lion Posim Berhad is a subsidiary of Amsteel Mills Sdn Bhd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Lion Forest Industries Bhd reported revenue of 697M MYR in FY2026 versus 872M MYR in FY2022, a compound −5.4%/yr. Reported net income was 957K MYR in FY2026, compounding −71.4%/yr from FY2022.
8486 screens 53% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →
Peer Group
Building Materials · 258 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $96.05 | $69.69 | -27% |
| Holcim AG HOLN | CHF 69.72 | CHF 20.00 | -71% |
| Vulcan Materials Company VMC | $279.86 | $114.48 | -59% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,891 | ₹4,718 | -60% |
| Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM | $543.90 | $215.31 | -60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥40.56 | ¥13.22 | -67% |
| Amrize AG AMRZ | CHF 37.65 | CHF 29.67 | -21% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,293 | ₹1,245 | -62% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CX | $11.24 | $11.31 | +1% |
| James Hardie Industries plc JHX | A$41.54 | A$9.80 | -76% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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