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Baiying Holdings Group Ltd (8525) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$230M

BH Baiying Holdings Group Ltd 8525 · HK
PriceHK$0.8500
Fair ValueHK$0.6900
Upside-18.8%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.5700 – HK$0.6900 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

A solid business, but screening 19% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.6900). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.00 HK$0.2900 Fair Value HK$0.6900 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2900 – HK$1.00 · fair‑value band HK$0.5700 – HK$0.6900 · the HK$0.8500 price screens above the HK$0.6900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Baiying Holdings Group Ltd (8525) currently trades at HK$0.8500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6900, implying the stock looks roughly 18.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Baiying Holdings Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$42.0M at a net margin of 17.0%. Revenue grew 74.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.0%. Net debt stands at HK$59.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.5700 (bear case) to HK$0.6900 (bull case); at HK$0.8500, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -19%, 8525 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.9200 HK$1.41 HK$2.04 80
Residual Income HK$0.6200 HK$0.5800 HK$0.4100 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.4600 HK$0.6600 HK$0.8900 74
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$0.0800 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2900 31
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.4800 HK$0.6800 HK$0.9000 38
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.6600 HK$0.8900 HK$1.18 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.1800 HK$0.7600 HK$1.04 54
Lynch FV HK$0.2000 HK$0.2800 HK$0.3600 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.2500 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4200 63
P/B Multiple HK$0.3300 HK$0.4400 HK$0.5500 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4800 HK$0.6500 HK$0.9700 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.9200 HK$1.41 HK$2.04 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.4600 HK$0.6600 HK$0.8900 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.6200 HK$0.5800 HK$0.4100 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.6800) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.2800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$42.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) +74.8%
Net margin 17.0%
Return on equity 8.0%
Free cash flow HK$29.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.6 as of Jul 3, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 34.4%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0600
EPS growth (YoY) -55.4%
Net debt HK$59.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 99
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 99
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Baiying Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of equipment-based financing solutions to small and medium-sized enterprises, individual entrepreneurs, and large enterprises in the People's Republic of China. It operates through the Financial Services, and Packaging and Paper Products Trading segments.

Full company description

Baiying Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of equipment-based financing solutions to small and medium-sized enterprises, individual entrepreneurs, and large enterprises in the People's Republic of China. It operates through the Financial Services, and Packaging and Paper Products Trading segments. The company primarily offers finance leasing services, including direct finance leasing and sale-leaseback services; and commercial factoring services. It also trades in packaging and paper products. The company was formerly known as Byleasing Holdings Limited and changed its name to Baiying Holdings Group Limited in June 2020. Baiying Holdings Group Limited was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Xiamen, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Baiying Holdings Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$46.5M in FY2025 versus HK$36.6M in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$7.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 83/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$46.5M
Latest YoY
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.8%
Revenue +6.2%/yr
FY21 HK$36.6M
FY22 HK$26.5M
FY23 HK$35.9M
FY24 HK$43.7M
FY25 HK$46.5M
Net income
FY21 −HK$7.1M
FY22 −HK$26.3M
FY23 −HK$16.2M
FY24 −HK$17.4M
FY25 HK$7.0M

8525 screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Baiying Holdings Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8525

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −19% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 34% · Above median
Revenue growth 75% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.21× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.70× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 2.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 8 · sector 33
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 32 · sector 31
HEALTH 90 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $359.42 $198.27 -45%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $561.44 $221.87 -60%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,094 ₹397.61 -64%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,117 ₹553.83 -50%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,918 ₹796.52 -58%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹367.05 ₹149.40 -59%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹376.50 ₹615.85 +64%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹2,876 ₹3,429 +19%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.35 ₹69.72 -21%
REC Limited RECLTD ₹346.00 ₹692.00 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Baiying Holdings Group Ltd (8525) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.6900 versus a price of HK$0.8500, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8525?
Our model-based fair value for Baiying Holdings Group Ltd is HK$0.6900 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.8500.
What is the quality score of 8525?
Baiying Holdings Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Baiying Holdings Group Ltd (8525)?
Baiying Holdings Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$42.0M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8525?
The net profit margin of Baiying Holdings Group Ltd is about 17.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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