Metasurface Technologies Holdings Ltd (8637) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$526M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$2.75 to HK$2.40 (−12.8%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −8.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 28% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$3.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
25‑month range HK$0.6400 – HK$4.07 · fair‑value band HK$1.80 – HK$3.01 · the HK$3.34 price screens above the HK$2.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Metasurface Technologies Holdings Ltd (8637) currently trades at HK$3.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.40, implying the stock looks roughly 28.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Metasurface Technologies Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$47.6M at a net margin of 21.2%. Revenue grew 19.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.9%. Net debt stands at HK$32.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.80 (bear case) to HK$3.01 (bull case); at HK$3.34, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 302% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -28%, 8637 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$18.41) versus Asset-Based (HK$2.16). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Metasurface Technologies Holdings Limited provides precision engineering services in Singapore. It offers precision machining that uses computer numerical controls (CNC) machines and other machine tools; and precision welding, which uses welding methods and processes, such as laser and electron beam to join materials.
Full company description
Metasurface Technologies Holdings Limited provides precision engineering services in Singapore. It offers precision machining that uses computer numerical controls (CNC) machines and other machine tools; and precision welding, which uses welding methods and processes, such as laser and electron beam to join materials. The company also manufactures and supplies ultra-high vacuum and high vacuum weldment; ultra high purity, high purity gas line weldment, dies, moulds, tools, jigs, and fixtures, as well as involved in Industries engineering. It serves semiconductor, aerospace, and data storage industries. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Metasurface Technologies Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$284M in FY2025 versus HK$111M in FY2021, a compound +26.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$60.3M in FY2025.
8637 screens 28% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €899.80 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €281.75 | €91.93 | -67% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.75 | -28% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 210.00 | kr 112.59 | -46% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 358.60 | kr 193.01 | -46% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥39.17 | ¥22.68 | -42% |
| ABB India Limited ABB | ₹7,645 | ₹1,322 | -83% |
| Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND | ₹5,315 | ₹1,355 | -75% |
| Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL | ₹421.70 | ₹96.51 | -77% |
| Siemens Limited SIEMENS | ₹4,019 | ₹746.83 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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