Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Al Rashid Industrial Co. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
36‑month range 19.07 SAR – 118,483 SAR · fair‑value band 30.67 SAR – 94.01 SAR · the 31.80 SAR price screens below the 57.33 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Al Rashid Industrial Co., manufactures and sells plastic packaging products to the government and private sectors in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
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Al Rashid Industrial Co., manufactures and sells plastic packaging products to the government and private sectors in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company offers packing boxes for saffron, incense, maamoul, dates, and sweets and savories; single-use containers, including heat, sushi, cake, egg storage, fruit, transparent, and candy boxes; package containers for creams and care products; medical packages and containers; and household utensils, such as food containers for the refrigerator, as well as for trays, glasses, and jugs. It also provides paper and corrugated cardboard products, cardboard boxes, folded or single bags, paper bags, and paper file storage boxes; plastic products; health or pharmaceutical items made of rubber; and single-use medical products and consumables, as well as household, kitchen, and decorative items. In addition, the company engages in the land transportation of goods; and wholesale of wood, cork, and plastic products. Further, it offers wholesale of medical devices, equipment, and supplies; and general warehousing services for goods, medical devices and products, and cardboard and plastic products. The company also sells its products through online. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580) currently trades at 31.80 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 57.33 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 44.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 82.61 SAR per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the 31.80 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 9.90 SAR, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 30.67 SAR (bear) to 94.01 SAR (bull), the price of 31.80 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Al Rashid Industrial Co. reported revenue of 175M SAR in FY2025 versus 95.1M SAR in FY2021, a compound +16.4%/yr. Reported net income was 43.3M SAR in FY2025, compounding +29.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 402M SAR (≈ $107M) · P/E ratio 8.8 · P/S ratio 2.18 · EPS (TTM) 3.61 SAR · Net margin 24.8% · Return on equity 26.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.8% · Operating margin 23.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 80%, 9580 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 30.67 SARFair Value 57.33 SARBull 94.01 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.55 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
’20
’21
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’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+24.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 25%
2025 sits 103% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Al Rashid Industrial Co. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 275 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+71% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)26% · Top 25%
Return on assets14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
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Is Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 57.33 SAR versus a price of 31.80 SAR, about +80% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9580?
Our model-based fair value for Al Rashid Industrial Co. is 57.33 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 31.80 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9580?
Al Rashid Industrial Co. has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 57.33 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 30.67 SAR, optimistic scenario 94.01 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Al Rashid Industrial Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 57.33 SAR, about +80% upside versus a price of 31.80 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 30.67 SAR, optimistic scenario 94.01 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
Al Rashid Industrial Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 175M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Al Rashid Industrial Co. would have to grow free cash flow by +0.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.3 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9580 use?
Our models discount Al Rashid Industrial Co. at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Al Rashid Industrial Co. that is +0.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Al Rashid Industrial Co. grew +17.3 % a year. The price currently implies +0.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Al Rashid Industrial Co. (+0.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.58 %: that much free cash flow Al Rashid Industrial Co. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Al Rashid Industrial Co. it is 57.33 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 31.80 SAR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Al Rashid Industrial Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 9580 trades below its calculated fair value: price 31.80 SAR, fair value 57.33 SAR, a gap of about +80% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9580?
No. The price is what the market pays today (31.80 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (57.33 SAR). For Al Rashid Industrial Co. the two are 25.53 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Al Rashid Industrial Co. worth?
The market values Al Rashid Industrial Co. at about 402M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 31.80 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 57.33 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9580?
Our models span a range for Al Rashid Industrial Co.: cautious scenario 30.67 SAR, base 57.33 SAR, optimistic 94.01 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 31.80 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9580?
Al Rashid Industrial Co. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.8 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 57.33 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 1.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
Balance-sheet figures for Al Rashid Industrial Co. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 26.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Al Rashid Industrial Co.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor plc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Al Rashid Industrial Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 31.80 SAR, calculated fair value 57.33 SAR (+80%), Quality Score 66/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9580 calculated?
We run Al Rashid Industrial Co. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 57.33 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Al Rashid Industrial Co. currently trades 80 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
The closing price on Sep 14, 2026 was 31.80 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 57.33 SAR, about +80% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Al Rashid Industrial Co. right now?
The model range is unusually wide (30.67 SAR to 94.01 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Al Rashid Industrial Co.
How large is the market capitalisation of Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
The market capitalisation of Al Rashid Industrial Co. is 402M SAR (≈ $107M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Al Rashid Industrial Co. is 2.18 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
Earnings per share at Al Rashid Industrial Co. are 3.61 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
The net margin of Al Rashid Industrial Co. is 24.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Al Rashid Industrial Co. is 26.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Al Rashid Industrial Co. is 16.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
The operating margin of Al Rashid Industrial Co. is 23.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
Revenue at Al Rashid Industrial Co. is growing +16.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580)?
Earnings per share at Al Rashid Industrial Co. are growing +1.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Al Rashid Industrial Co. (9580) hold?
Al Rashid Industrial Co. holds more cash than debt, 20.2M SAR net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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