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Mufeed Company (9615) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Mufeed Company is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Communication Services · SA

MC Some data Sep 13, 2026

Mufeed Company

9615 · SR

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value 40.32 SAR · Strongly undervalued (+83%)
!Quality 39/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +16.0 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 15.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/12)
!Moderate moat 64/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 2 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

42.30 SAR 21.70 SAR Fair Value 40.32 SAR Dec 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

9‑month range 21.70 SAR – 42.30 SAR · fair‑value band 27.27 SAR – 43.00 SAR · the 22.00 SAR price screens below the 40.32 SAR fair value. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Mufeed Company engages in the event management business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It manages exhibitions and conferences; television transmission; media content; live broadcasting activities.

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Mufeed Company engages in the event management business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It manages exhibitions and conferences; television transmission; media content; live broadcasting activities. The company is also involved in indoor and outdoor events, and lighting, sound, and display systemsIn addition, its services include advertising and promotion, content development, animation, marketing strategies, graphics design, social media management, website development, and data anakysis and performance. Further, the company provides media production, digital marketing, and supporting services. It serves public and private sectors. Mufeed Company was founded in 2008 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

Mufeed Company (9615) currently trades at 22.00 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.32 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 45.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 75.57 SAR per share, and 16 of the 17 models we run sit above the 22.00 SAR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 15.76 SAR, and 1 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 27.27 SAR (bear) to 43.00 SAR (bull), the price of 22.00 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Mufeed Company reported revenue of 167M SAR in FY2025 versus 107M SAR in FY2022, a compound +16.0%/yr. Reported net income was 26.5M SAR in FY2025, compounding −7.5%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap 168M SAR (≈ $44.8M) · P/E ratio 5.5 · P/S ratio 0.87 · EPS (TTM) 4.01 SAR · Net margin 15.8% · Return on equity 18.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 34.4% · Operating margin 17.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 83%, 9615 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 27.27 SAR Fair Value 40.32 SAR Bull 43.00 SAR
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.83 SAR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 43.49 SAR 56.42 SAR 72.16 SAR 75
EPV 38.63 SAR 42.37 SAR 45.42 SAR 74
Residual Income 22.35 SAR 26.50 SAR 41.90 SAR 71
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 43.49 SAR 56.42 SAR 72.16 SAR 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 27.27 SAR 77.79 SAR 102.52 SAR 62
Lynch FV 15.91 SAR 22.74 SAR 29.56 SAR 58
PEG = 1.0 15.91 SAR 22.74 SAR 29.56 SAR 55
EPV 38.63 SAR 42.37 SAR 45.42 SAR 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 34.83 SAR 58.33 SAR 75.71 SAR 65
DDM Multi-Stage 34.83 SAR 50.52 SAR 62.76 SAR 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple 66.16 SAR 88.22 SAR 110.27 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 51.13 SAR 68.17 SAR 85.21 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 51.13 SAR 68.17 SAR 85.21 SAR 55
EV/EBIT 65.77 SAR 85.22 SAR 104.68 SAR 66
EV/EBITDA 64.67 SAR 83.77 SAR 102.86 SAR 67
EV/Revenue 51.66 SAR 70.63 SAR 89.60 SAR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 11.76 SAR 15.76 SAR 23.52 SAR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 22.35 SAR 26.50 SAR 41.90 SAR 71
ROIC Compounder 39.97 SAR 45.58 SAR 51.27 SAR 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 52.90 SAR 75.57 SAR 98.25 SAR 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 29
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 23
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.1%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−27.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−27.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.33% → 19%

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 264 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside +147% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 17.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.29× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.27× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)2 · sector 10
PAST (return on equity)74 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 43

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $77.40 $85.14 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $104.97 $80.62 −23%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $28.04 $10.00 −64%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $170.15 $54.61 −68%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.61 €16.07 +10%
TKO Group TKO $190.31 $95.50 −50%
Formula One Group FWONK $95.59 $105.15 +10%
Fox Corporation FOXA $65.94 $206.81 +214%
Roku, Inc ROKU $154.93 $42.88 −72%
News Corporation NWS A$45.47 A$28.46 −37%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mufeed Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9615

Frequently asked questions

Is Mufeed Company (9615) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 40.32 SAR versus a price of 22.00 SAR, about +83% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9615?
Our model-based fair value for Mufeed Company is 40.32 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 22.00 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9615?
Mufeed Company has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mufeed Company (9615)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 40.32 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 27.27 SAR, optimistic scenario 43.00 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mufeed Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 40.32 SAR, about +83% upside versus a price of 22.00 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 27.27 SAR, optimistic scenario 43.00 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mufeed Company (9615)?
Mufeed Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 167M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mufeed Company (9615)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mufeed Company it is 40.32 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 22.00 SAR. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mufeed Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 9615 trades below its calculated fair value: price 22.00 SAR, fair value 40.32 SAR, a gap of about +83% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9615?
No. The price is what the market pays today (22.00 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (40.32 SAR). For Mufeed Company the two are 18.32 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mufeed Company worth?
The market values Mufeed Company at about 168M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 22.00 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 40.32 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9615?
Our models span a range for Mufeed Company: cautious scenario 27.27 SAR, base 40.32 SAR, optimistic 43.00 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 22.00 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9615?
Mufeed Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.5 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 40.32 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mufeed Company (9615)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mufeed Company (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 18.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9615 from its 52-week high?
Mufeed Company trades at 22.00 SAR, about 50% below its 52-week high of 43.90 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 40.32 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mufeed Company?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mufeed Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 22.00 SAR, calculated fair value 40.32 SAR (+83%), Quality Score 39/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9615 calculated?
We run Mufeed Company through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 40.32 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Mufeed Company currently trades 83 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mufeed Company (9615)?
The closing price on Sep 10, 2026 was 22.00 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 40.32 SAR, about +83% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mufeed Company right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (27.27 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Key figures of Mufeed Company

How large is the market capitalisation of Mufeed Company (9615)?
The market capitalisation of Mufeed Company is 168M SAR (≈ $44.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mufeed Company (9615)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mufeed Company is 0.87 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mufeed Company (9615)?
Earnings per share at Mufeed Company are 4.01 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mufeed Company (9615)?
The net margin of Mufeed Company is 15.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mufeed Company (9615)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mufeed Company is 18.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mufeed Company (9615)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mufeed Company is 34.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mufeed Company (9615)?
The operating margin of Mufeed Company is 17.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mufeed Company (9615)?
Revenue at Mufeed Company is growing +0.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mufeed Company (9615)?
Earnings per share at Mufeed Company are growing −47.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Mufeed Company (9615) generate?
The free cash flow of Mufeed Company is −1.2M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Mufeed Company (9615) hold?
Mufeed Company holds more cash than debt, 9.5M SAR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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