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9686 (9686) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · Market cap HK$783M

9 9686 9686 · HK
PriceHK$0.9300
Fair ValueHK$0.3000
Upside-67.7%
Quality49/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.2200 – HK$0.3800

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated today

Share price −7.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$1.02 HK$0.8000 Fair Value HK$0.3000 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.8000 – HK$1.02 · fair‑value band HK$0.2200 – HK$0.3800 · the HK$0.9300 price screens above the HK$0.3000 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

9686 (9686) currently trades at HK$0.9300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3000 — implying the stock looks roughly 67.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, 9686 generated revenue of HK$464M at a net margin of -8.4%. Revenue declined 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$27.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$464M
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.4%
Net margin -8.4%
Return on equity -11.3%
Free cash flow HK$14.9M FY2025
Operating margin 4.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0600
Net cash HK$27.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

9686 reported revenue of HK$464M in FY2025 versus HK$614M in FY2021, a compound −6.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$38.9M in FY2025.

Revenue −6.8%/yr
FY21 HK$614M
FY22 HK$687M
FY23 HK$538M
FY24 HK$501M
FY25 HK$464M
Net income
FY21 −HK$297M
FY22 −HK$242M
FY23 −HK$155M
FY24 −HK$83.1M
FY25 −HK$38.9M

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Similar stocks

6 more Health Information Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Veeva Systems Inc VEEV $153.16 $183.66 +20%
Pro Medicus Limited PME A$165.64 A$28.02 -83%
BrightSpring Health Services, Inc BTSG $60.59 $23.87 -61%
Tempus AI, Inc TEM $48.61 $12.67 -74%
HealthEquity, Inc HQY $84.61 $79.57 -6%
M3, Inc MTHRY $5.21 $7.47 +43%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 9686 (9686) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3000 versus a price of HK$0.9300 — about −68% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 9686?
Our model-based fair value for 9686 is HK$0.3000 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.9300.
What is the quality score of 9686?
9686 has a Quality Score of 49/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 9686 (9686)?
9686 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$464M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9686?
The net profit margin of 9686 is about -8.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.