Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Sinmah Capital Bhd MYR 0.09, price MYR 0.34, upside -72.5%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0350 MYR – 0.5200 MYR · fair‑value band 0.0765 MYR – 0.1105 MYR · the 0.3400 MYR price screens above the 0.0935 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Rivertree STF Synergies Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the property development business in Malaysia. It operates through Housing development and Other business segments. The company develops and constructs residential and commercial properties.
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Rivertree STF Synergies Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the property development business in Malaysia. It operates through Housing development and Other business segments. The company develops and constructs residential and commercial properties. It is also involved in the property management; building construction; general trading and management; and healthcare related activities, as well as operates as a general contractor. The company was formerly known as Sinmah Capital Berhad and changed its name to Rivertree STF Synergies Berhad in January 2026. Rivertree STF Synergies Berhad was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776) currently trades at 0.3400 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0935 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 263.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 0.1200 MYR per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 0.3400 MYR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.0700 MYR, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.0765 MYR (bear) to 0.1105 MYR (bull), the price of 0.3400 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Sinmah Capital Bhd reported revenue of 32.7M MYR in FY2024 versus 114M MYR in FY2020, a compound −26.8%/yr. Reported net income was −41.8M MYR in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap 167M MYR (≈ $41.0M) · P/S ratio 7.67 · EPS (TTM) −0.0300 MYR · Net margin −128% · Return on equity −4,805% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.3% · Operating margin 7.4% · Revenue (TTM) 21.8M MYR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 300% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −73%, 9776 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.0765 MYRFair Value 0.0935 MYRBull 0.1105 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.21/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−37.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.1%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.1% (2019) → −131.6% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 666 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−73% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−10% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−128% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.87× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.88× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF13.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)65· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sinmah Capital Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9776
Frequently asked questions
Is Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0935 MYR versus a price of 0.3400 MYR, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9776?
Our model-based fair value for Sinmah Capital Bhd is 0.0935 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.3400 MYR.
What is the quality score of 9776?
Sinmah Capital Bhd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0935 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0765 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.1105 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sinmah Capital Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0935 MYR, about −73% upside versus a price of 0.3400 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0765 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.1105 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776)?
Sinmah Capital Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 21.8M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sinmah Capital Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +29.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -29.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9776 use?
Our models discount Sinmah Capital Bhd at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.12, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sinmah Capital Bhd that is +29.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sinmah Capital Bhd grew -29.1 % a year. The price currently implies +29.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sinmah Capital Bhd (+29.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.05 %: that much free cash flow Sinmah Capital Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sinmah Capital Bhd it is 0.0935 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.3400 MYR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sinmah Capital Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 9776 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.3400 MYR, fair value 0.0935 MYR, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9776?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.3400 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0935 MYR). For Sinmah Capital Bhd the two are 0.2465 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sinmah Capital Bhd worth?
The market values Sinmah Capital Bhd at about 167M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.3400 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0935 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9776?
Our models span a range for Sinmah Capital Bhd: cautious scenario 0.0765 MYR, base 0.0935 MYR, optimistic 0.1105 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.3400 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sinmah Capital Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9776 from its 52-week high?
Sinmah Capital Bhd trades at 0.3400 MYR, about 16% below its 52-week high of 0.4050 MYR and 300% above the low of 0.0850 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0935 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sinmah Capital Bhd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sinmah Capital Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.3400 MYR, calculated fair value 0.0935 MYR (−73%), Quality Score 45/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9776 calculated?
We run Sinmah Capital Bhd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0935 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Sinmah Capital Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.3400 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.0935 MYR, about −73% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sinmah Capital Bhd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.1105 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Sinmah Capital Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776)?
The market capitalisation of Sinmah Capital Bhd is 167M MYR (≈ $41.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sinmah Capital Bhd is 7.67 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776)?
Earnings per share at Sinmah Capital Bhd are −0.0300 MYR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776)?
The net margin of Sinmah Capital Bhd is −128% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sinmah Capital Bhd is −4,805% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sinmah Capital Bhd is −17.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776)?
The operating margin of Sinmah Capital Bhd is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776)?
Revenue at Sinmah Capital Bhd is growing +12.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −37.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Sinmah Capital Bhd (9776) carry?
The net debt of Sinmah Capital Bhd is 2.7M MYR (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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