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Ocean One Holding Ltd. (9876) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$767M

OO Ocean One Holding Ltd. 9876 · HK
PriceHK$2.18
Fair ValueHK$2.29
Upside+5.1%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.2% net margin
generates free cash flow
1.54% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range HK$1.46 – HK$3.21 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$2.26 to HK$2.29 (+1.3%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −20.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$1.46 to HK$3.21) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$5.15 HK$0.5226 Fair Value HK$2.29 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.5226 – HK$5.15 · fair‑value band HK$1.46 – HK$3.21 · the HK$2.18 price screens below the HK$2.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Ocean One Holding Ltd. (9876) currently trades at HK$2.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.29, implying the stock looks roughly 5.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ocean One Holding Ltd. generated revenue of HK$426M at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue grew 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$46.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.46 (bear case) to HK$3.21 (bull case); at HK$2.18, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 5%, 9876 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$1.00 HK$1.13 HK$1.82 76
Growth DCF HK$1.08 HK$1.44 HK$1.87 72
Gordon GGM HK$0.3300 HK$0.5900 HK$0.8100 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.08 HK$1.48 HK$2.02 38
Owner Earnings HK$1.60 HK$2.24 HK$3.09 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.42 HK$2.23 HK$3.28 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.50 HK$2.38 HK$3.41 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$1.70 HK$2.76 HK$3.86 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.23 HK$1.89 HK$2.79 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.31 HK$1.99 HK$2.88 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$1.43 HK$2.22 HK$3.20 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.9500 HK$2.95 HK$3.92 54
Lynch FV HK$0.6400 HK$0.9100 HK$1.19 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.6400 HK$0.9100 HK$1.19 46
EPV HK$1.31 HK$1.46 HK$1.59 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.3300 HK$0.5900 HK$0.8100 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.3300 HK$0.5100 HK$0.6300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$2.20 HK$2.94 HK$3.67 63
P/S Multiple HK$1.78 HK$2.38 HK$2.97 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.78 HK$2.38 HK$2.97 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.36 HK$3.09 HK$3.82 53
EV/EBITDA HK$2.00 HK$2.61 HK$3.22 54
EV/Revenue HK$1.73 HK$2.40 HK$3.07 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.5700 HK$0.7600 HK$1.14 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.08 HK$1.44 HK$1.87 72
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.42 HK$2.23 HK$3.15 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.00 HK$1.13 HK$1.82 76
ROIC Compounder HK$1.34 HK$1.58 HK$1.86 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.82 HK$2.60 HK$3.38 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$2.60) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.5100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$426M
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.2%
Net margin 9.2%
Return on equity 12.8%
Free cash flow HK$27.1M FY2026
P/E ratio 19.6 as of Jul 3, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 9.2%
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -9.6%
Net cash HK$46.1M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ocean One Holding Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the import and wholesale of frozen seafood products in Hong Kong, Macau, Mainland China, Taiwan, and Japan. It offers prawns; scallops, oysters, and surf clams; fishes; crabs and roe; octopuses and cuttlefishes; processed seafood products; and miscellaneous products.

Full company description

Ocean One Holding Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the import and wholesale of frozen seafood products in Hong Kong, Macau, Mainland China, Taiwan, and Japan. It offers prawns; scallops, oysters, and surf clams; fishes; crabs and roe; octopuses and cuttlefishes; processed seafood products; and miscellaneous products. The company is also involved in the provision of product sourcing, quality assurance, storage, and transportation services; and property holding business. It serves frozen seafood resellers, local integrated food product wholesaling companies, and food trade companies, as well as frozen seafood catering service providers, including restaurants, food chain stores, food processing operators, and other end customers. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong. Ocean One Holding Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Karlson Holding Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Ocean One Holding Ltd. reported revenue of HK$426M in FY2026 versus HK$409M in FY2022, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$39.2M in FY2026, compounding +1.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$426M
Latest YoY
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Revenue +1.1%/yr
FY22 HK$409M
FY23 HK$467M
FY24 HK$459M
FY25 HK$396M
FY26 HK$426M
Net income +1.2%/yr
FY22 HK$37.4M
FY23 HK$50.2M
FY24 HK$40.8M
FY25 HK$41.7M
FY26 HK$39.2M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2016-2026) +14.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.9 pp

of which total revenue +9.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +2.8 pp
Tax rate −0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Ocean One Holding Ltd. · Fair Value
HK$2.29 +5%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ocean One Holding Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9876

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 652 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.40× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.80× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 15.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 40 · sector 23
FUTURE 66 · sector 19
PAST 51 · sector 28
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 31 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,646 ₹1,870 -67%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,062 ₹327.27 -69%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 7,550 IDR 12,864 IDR +70%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,219,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -17%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹352.60 ₹144.77 -59%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 61,600 VND 52,858 VND -14%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,665 IDR 2,699 IDR +62%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,630 IDR 4,350 IDR -6%
Nongshim Co 004370 389,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ocean One Holding Ltd. (9876) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.29 versus a price of HK$2.18, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 9876?
Our model-based fair value for Ocean One Holding Ltd. is HK$2.29 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.18.
What is the quality score of 9876?
Ocean One Holding Ltd. has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ocean One Holding Ltd. (9876)?
Ocean One Holding Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$426M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9876?
The net profit margin of Ocean One Holding Ltd. is about 9.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ocean One Holding Ltd. pay a dividend?
Ocean One Holding Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.54% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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