9876 (9876) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · Market cap HK$767M

9 9876 9876 · HK

PriceHK$2.74

Fair ValueHK$2.36

Upside-13.9%

Quality53/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$1.49 – HK$3.21

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −7.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$2.36 – HK$5.15 · fair‑value band HK$1.49 – HK$3.21 · the HK$2.74 price screens above the HK$2.36 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

9876 (9876) currently trades at HK$2.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.36 — implying the stock looks roughly 13.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 9876 generated revenue of HK$426M at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue grew 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$46.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$426M

Revenue growth (YoY) +13.2%

Net margin 9.2%

Return on equity 12.8%

Free cash flow HK$27.1M FY2026

P/E ratio 19.6

More key figures

Operating margin 9.2%

Dividend yield 1.5%

EPS growth (YoY) -9.6%

Net cash HK$46.1M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

9876 reported revenue of HK$426M in FY2026 versus HK$409M in FY2022, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$39.2M in FY2026, compounding +1.2%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +1.1%/yr

FY22 HK$409M

FY23 HK$467M

FY24 HK$459M

FY25 HK$396M

FY26 HK$426M

Net income +1.2%/yr

FY22 HK$37.4M

FY23 HK$50.2M

FY24 HK$40.8M

FY25 HK$41.7M

FY26 HK$39.2M

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Similar stocks

6 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN	CHF 79.00	CHF 57.28	-27%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288	¥35.10	¥25.34	-28%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND	₹1,438	₹362.37	-75%
3288 3288	HK$30.26	HK$27.44	-9%
Grupo Bimbo, S.A. BIMBOA	57.10 MXN	72.19 MXN	+26%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216	75.10 TWD	72.54 TWD	-3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 9876 (9876) undervalued?

As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.36 versus a price of HK$2.74 — about −14% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 9876?

Our model-based fair value for 9876 is HK$2.36 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.74.

What is the quality score of 9876?

9876 has a Quality Score of 53/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 9876 (9876)?

9876 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$426M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 9876?

The net profit margin of 9876 is about 9.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 9876 pay a dividend?

9876 currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.54% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 3, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.