Chi Kan Holdings Ltd (9913) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$2.3B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +2.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 67% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.9700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.04 – HK$3.65 · fair‑value band HK$0.5900 – HK$0.9700 · the HK$2.33 price screens above the HK$0.7700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Chi Kan Holdings Ltd (9913) currently trades at HK$2.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7700, implying the stock looks roughly 67.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chi Kan Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.0B at a net margin of -6.7%. Revenue grew 18.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$216M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.5900 (bear case) to HK$0.9700 (bull case); at HK$2.33, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -67%, 9913 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$1.16) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.2700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chi Kan Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of formwork and other construction services in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. It provides formwork services, including timber and plywood conventional formwork, and aluminum and steel prefabricated framework. The company also engages in the e-commerce business.
Full company description
Chi Kan Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of formwork and other construction services in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. It provides formwork services, including timber and plywood conventional formwork, and aluminum and steel prefabricated framework. The company also engages in the e-commerce business. Chi Kan Holdings Limited was formerly known as Chi Kan Woodworks Company Limited. The company was founded in 1989 and is based in Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Chi Kan Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.0B in FY2026 versus HK$1.6B in FY2022, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$68.6M in FY2026.
9913 screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹4,020 | ₹1,994 | -50% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 357,500 KRW | 261,411 KRW | -27% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 113,700 KRW | 61,453 KRW | -46% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 49,300 KRW | 43,624 KRW | -12% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹230.00 | ₹48.92 | -79% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 18,400 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -65% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 99,800 KRW | 19,346 KRW | -81% |
| GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 | 35,200 KRW | 23,135 KRW | -34% |
| DL E&C Co 375500 | 73,500 KRW | 148,433 KRW | +102% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 | 46,350 KRW | 43,924 KRW | -5% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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