Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 12, 2026: fair value of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd A$1.04, price A$1.31, upside -20.1%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.17 – A$2.37 · fair‑value band A$0.7980 – A$1.30 · the A$1.31 price screens above the A$1.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 9, 2026.
Follow Australian Agricultural Company in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Australian Agricultural Company is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Australian Agricultural Company Limited produces cattle and beef in Australia. The company is involved in production of beef, including breeding, backgrounding, and feedlotting; sales and marketing beef into global markets; and ownership, operation, and development of pastoral properties.
Show more
Australian Agricultural Company Limited produces cattle and beef in Australia. The company is involved in production of beef, including breeding, backgrounding, and feedlotting; sales and marketing beef into global markets; and ownership, operation, and development of pastoral properties. It provides its products under the Westholme and the Darling Downs brands. The company also exports its products. Australian Agricultural Company Limited was founded in 1824 and is based in Newstead, Australia.
Stock analysis
Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC) currently trades at A$1.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.04, 20.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$3.40 per share, and 9 of the 10 models we run sit above the A$1.31 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at A$1.32, and 1 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.7980 (bear) to A$1.30 (bull), the price of A$1.31 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Australian Agricultural Company Ltd reported revenue of A$422M in FY2026 versus A$276M in FY2022, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was A$107M in FY2026, compounding −5.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$783M (≈ $546M) · P/E ratio 7.3 · P/S ratio 1.84 · EPS (TTM) A$0.1800 · Net margin 25.4% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.8% · Operating margin −65.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −20%, AAC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.7980Fair Value A$1.04Bull A$1.30
Price A$1.31 · Upside -20.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0962 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.53/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.5% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+18.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.18.6% vs 4.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−47% → −47%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.5%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Australian Agricultural Company Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 288 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−20.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6.5% · Above median
Return on assets−5.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)25.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−65.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.27× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Australian Agricultural Company Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AAC
Frequently asked questions
Is Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.04 versus a price of A$1.31, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AAC?
Our model-based fair value for Australian Agricultural Company Ltd is A$1.04 (as of Oct 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$1.31.
What is the quality score of AAC?
Australian Agricultural Company Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$1.04 (as of Oct 9, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.7980, optimistic scenario A$1.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Australian Agricultural Company Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$1.04, about −20% upside versus a price of A$1.31 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.7980, optimistic scenario A$1.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC)?
Australian Agricultural Company Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$422M (latest available figure, as of Oct 9, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Australian Agricultural Company Ltd it is A$1.04 per share (as of Oct 9, 2026), against a price of A$1.31. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Australian Agricultural Company Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 9, 2026, AAC trades above its calculated fair value: price A$1.31, fair value A$1.04, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AAC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$1.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$1.04). For Australian Agricultural Company Ltd the two are A$0.2620 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Australian Agricultural Company Ltd worth?
The market values Australian Agricultural Company Ltd at about A$783M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 9, 2026). Per share that is A$1.31; our models calculate a fair value of A$1.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AAC?
Our models span a range for Australian Agricultural Company Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.7980, base A$1.04, optimistic A$1.30 per share (as of Oct 9, 2026, price A$1.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AAC?
Australian Agricultural Company Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.3 (as of Oct 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$1.04 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.5, P/B 0.4, P/S 1.9.
What is the PEG ratio of AAC?
The PEG ratio of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd is 3.48 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 9, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (as of Oct 9, 2026): return on equity 6.5%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AAC from its 52-week high?
Australian Agricultural Company Ltd trades at A$1.31, about 13% below its 52-week high of A$1.50 and 2% above the low of A$1.28 (as of Oct 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$1.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Australian Agricultural Company Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Australian Agricultural Company Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 9, 2026: price A$1.31, calculated fair value A$1.04 (−20%), Quality Score 45/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AAC calculated?
We run Australian Agricultural Company Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$1.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Australian Agricultural Company Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC)?
The closing price on Oct 12, 2026 was A$1.31. Our model-based fair value is A$1.04, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Australian Agricultural Company Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC)?
The market capitalisation of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd is A$783M (≈ $546M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd is 1.84 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC)?
Earnings per share at Australian Agricultural Company Ltd are A$0.1800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC)?
The net margin of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd is 25.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd is −5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC)?
The operating margin of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd is −65.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC)?
Revenue at Australian Agricultural Company Ltd is growing −1.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC)?
Earnings per share at Australian Agricultural Company Ltd are growing +247% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC) generate?
The free cash flow of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd is −A$15.2M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC) carry?
The net debt of Australian Agricultural Company Ltd is A$508M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Australian Agricultural Company Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Australian Agricultural Company Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener.
