Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · AU · Market cap A$820M (≈ $590M) · ISIN AU000000AAC9
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from A$2.98 to A$1.04 (−65.0%) since Aug 19, 2026. Share price −0.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 28% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$1.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.17 – A$2.37 · fair‑value band A$0.7980 – A$1.30 · the A$1.34 price screens above the A$1.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Australian Agricultural Company Ltd (AAC) currently trades at A$1.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.04, implying the stock looks roughly 22.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Australian Agricultural Company Ltd generated revenue of A$422M at a net margin of 25.4%. Revenue declined 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. Net debt stands at A$508M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.7980 (bear case) to A$1.30 (bull case); at A$1.34, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -22%, AAC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$3.40) versus Earnings-Based (A$1.32). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Australian Agricultural Company Limited produces cattle and beef in Australia. The company is involved in production of beef, including breeding, backgrounding, and feedlotting; sales and marketing beef into global markets; and ownership, operation, and development of pastoral properties.
Full company description
Australian Agricultural Company Limited produces cattle and beef in Australia. The company is involved in production of beef, including breeding, backgrounding, and feedlotting; sales and marketing beef into global markets; and ownership, operation, and development of pastoral properties. It provides its products under the Westholme and the Darling Downs brands. The company also exports its products. Australian Agricultural Company Limited was founded in 1824 and is based in Newstead, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Australian Agricultural Company Ltd reported revenue of A$422M in FY2026 versus A$276M in FY2022, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was A$107M in FY2026, compounding −5.9%/yr from FY2022.
AAC screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 297 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM | $80.09 | $38.02 | -53% |
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| Bunge Global SA BG | $113.25 | $56.19 | -50% |
| Tyson Foods, Inc TSN | $56.55 | $28.60 | -49% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥13.80 | ¥11.18 | -19% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 206.00 | kr 260.70 | +27% |
| Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 | ¥201.06 | ¥143.09 | -29% |
| United Plantations Berhad 2089 | 32.60 MYR | 23.34 MYR | -28% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 23.40 THB | 43.24 THB | +85% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 2,960 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +130% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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