PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, (CPIN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 51.2T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from 7,076 IDR to 5,104 IDR (−27.9%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +2.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 63% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (3,216 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (3,216 IDR to 6,405 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3,060 IDR – 6,803 IDR · fair‑value band 3,216 IDR – 6,405 IDR · the 3,140 IDR price screens below the 5,104 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, (CPIN) currently trades at 3,140 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5,104 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 62.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, generated revenue of 73.0T IDR at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue grew 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.5%. Net debt stands at 2.2T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 3,216 IDR (bear case) to 6,405 IDR (bull case); at 3,140 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 39% fair-value upside, at 63%, CPIN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (7,419 IDR) versus Asset-Based (1,395 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells poultry feed, broiler, food products, and day-old chicks (DOC) in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Feed, Broiler, Day-Old Chicks, Processed Chicken, and Others segments.
Full company description
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells poultry feed, broiler, food products, and day-old chicks (DOC) in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Feed, Broiler, Day-Old Chicks, Processed Chicken, and Others segments. The company is involved in the broiler breeding; slaughterhouse; non-poultry and poultry meat packing activities; manufacture and preservation of poultry and meat products; and offers frosting of fruits and vegetables; mixed flour and flour dough; food and processed food; cooking spices and seasonings; animal food rations; pharmaceutical product for animals; plastic packaging; and household appliances and equipment. It also engages in the wholesale trading of live-stocks, poultry, and processed chicken; trading of poultry equipment; warehousing and storage; cold storage activities; broiler cultivation; fruit and vegetable drying; soft drink; bottled water; and other beverage industries activities. In addition, the company is involved in pharmaceutical ingredients industry for animals; wholesale of beef and processed beef, chicken meat and processed chicken, and meat and other processed meat; production and distribution chicken feather meal; trade of processed fishery products; wholesale of eggs and egg processed products; and other food and beverages. Additionally, it provides macaroni, noodles, and similar products; bread and cake products; soybeans, other legumes, soy sauce, tempeh, and tofu; corn milling and cleaning; laboratory testing services; and agricultural and forestry machineries, as well as wholesale trade of non-dairy non-alcoholic beverages. The company was formerly known as PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Animal Feedmill Co. Limited. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Group.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, reported revenue of 70.7T IDR in FY2025 versus 51.7T IDR in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was 5.6T IDR in FY2025, compounding +11.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Farm Products · 291 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
| PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS | 700.00 IDR | 448.40 IDR | -36% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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