Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd ₹585, price ₹445, upside +31.5%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
28‑month range ₹329.45 – ₹556.50 · fair‑value band ₹170.39 – ₹1,226 · the ₹444.50 price screens below the ₹584.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Aadhar Housing Finance Limited, a housing finance company, engages in the housing finance business in India. The company offers loans for residential property; plot purchase and construction; home improvement and extension loans; commercial property construction and acquisition; and loans against residential properties.
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Aadhar Housing Finance Limited, a housing finance company, engages in the housing finance business in India. The company offers loans for residential property; plot purchase and construction; home improvement and extension loans; commercial property construction and acquisition; and loans against residential properties. It also provides loans against property; and other property related services. It serves individuals, companies, corporations, societies, and association of persons. The company was formerly known as DHFL Vysya Housing Finance Limited and changed its name to Aadhar Housing Finance Limited in August 2017. Aadhar Housing Finance Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC) currently trades at ₹444.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹584.64, implying the stock looks roughly 24.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹673.79 per share, and 5 of the 11 models we run sit above the ₹444.50 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹115.53, and 6 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹170.39 (bear) to ₹1,226 (bull), the price of ₹444.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd reported revenue of ₹36.9B in FY2026 versus ₹16.1B in FY2022, a compound +23.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹11.0B in FY2026, compounding +25.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹226B (≈ $2.4B) · P/E ratio 17.9 · P/S ratio 5.33 · EPS (TTM) ₹24.78 · Net margin 29.7% · Return on equity 15.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2% · Operating margin 62.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 22% fair-value upside, at 32%, AADHARHFC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹170.39Fair Value ₹584.64Bull ₹1,226
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹12.22 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+3.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.78% → 40%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.9% a year for the price and +2.1% for the forecasts.
Compare Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Mortgage Finance · 92 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+31.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets4.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)48.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)62.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.48× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Mortgage Finance median · lower = cheaper
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Is Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹584.64 versus a price of ₹444.50, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AADHARHFC?
Our model-based fair value for Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd is ₹584.64 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹444.50.
What is the quality score of AADHARHFC?
Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹584.64 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹170.39, optimistic scenario ₹1,226. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹584.64, about +32% upside versus a price of ₹444.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹170.39, optimistic scenario ₹1,226. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹22.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +15.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +23.0 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AADHARHFC use?
Our models discount Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.41, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd that is +15.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd grew +23.0 % a year. The price currently implies +15.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (+15.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.58 %: that much free cash flow Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd it is ₹584.64 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹444.50. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, AADHARHFC trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹444.50, fair value ₹584.64, a gap of about +32% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AADHARHFC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹444.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹584.64). For Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd the two are ₹140.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd worth?
The market values Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd at about ₹226B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹444.50; our models calculate a fair value of ₹584.64 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AADHARHFC?
Our models span a range for Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd: cautious scenario ₹170.39, base ₹584.64, optimistic ₹1,226 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹444.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AADHARHFC?
Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.9 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹584.64 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 10.0, EV/EBITDA 27.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 15.8%, debt of 2.48 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AADHARHFC from its 52-week high?
Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd trades at ₹444.50, about 20% below its 52-week high of ₹556.50 and 1% above the low of ₹439.10 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹584.64 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, Rocket Companies, Inc, Federal National Mortgage Association, Bajaj Housing Finance Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹444.50, calculated fair value ₹584.64 (+32%), Quality Score 54/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AADHARHFC calculated?
We run Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹584.64, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd currently trades 32 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was ₹444.50. Our model-based fair value is ₹584.64, about +32% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹170.39 to ₹1,226). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
The market capitalisation of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd is ₹226B (≈ $2.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd is 5.33 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
Earnings per share at Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd are ₹24.78 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
The net margin of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd is 29.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd is 15.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd is 8.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
The operating margin of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd is 62.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
Revenue at Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd is growing +20.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC)?
Earnings per share at Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd are growing +26.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd (AADHARHFC) carry?
The net debt of Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd is ₹175B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 10.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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