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AA Mission Acquisition Corp (AAM) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $469M

AM AA Mission Acquisition Corp logo AA Mission Acquisition Corp AAM · US
Price$0.0420
Fair Value$0.0314
Upside-25.2%
Quality51/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/9)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: High Range $0.0282 – $0.0346 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 31, 2026, revised from $0.0307 to $0.0314 (+2.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +27.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0346). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (23 months)

$10.70 $0.0310 Fair Value $0.0314 Sep 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

23‑month range $0.0310 – $10.70 · fair‑value band $0.0282 – $0.0346 · the $0.0420 price screens above the $0.0314 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

AA Mission Acquisition Corp (AAM) currently trades at $0.0420, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0314, implying the stock looks roughly 25.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Net debt stands at $2.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0282 (bear case) to $0.0346 (bull case); at $0.0420, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -25%, AAM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $0.0400 $0.0400 $0.0400 76
Growth DCF $0.2200 $0.2800 $0.3500 72
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0300 70
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.2600 $0.3400 $0.4400 31
5Y P/E Exit $0.1300 $0.1500 $0.1700 38
10Y P/E Exit $0.1700 $0.1900 $0.2200 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0200 $0.0600 $0.0800 54
Lynch FV $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0200 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0300 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0200 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0500 63
P/B Multiple $0.0400 $0.0500 $0.0700 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0300 $0.0300 $0.0500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.2200 $0.2800 $0.3500 72
Rev-Margin DCF $0.2300 $0.3300 $0.4300 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.0400 $0.0400 $0.0400 76

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($0.2800) versus Earnings-Based ($0.0200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Return on equity 411%
Free cash flow $204M FY2024
EPS growth (YoY) +10.4%
Net debt $2.2B FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 8

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AA Mission Acquisition Corp. does not have significant operations. It focuses on effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, recapitalization, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses or entities. AA Mission Acquisition Corp. was incorporated in 2024 and is based in The Woodlands, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

AA Mission Acquisition Corp reported revenue of $6.1B in FY2024 versus $4.7B in FY2020, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $35.0M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$6.1B
Latest YoY
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+4.3%
Revenue +6.8%/yr
FY20 $4.7B
FY21 $5.2B
FY22 $5.8B
FY23 $6.1B
FY24 $6.1B
Net income
FY20 −$561M
FY21 $5.9M
FY22 $64.3M
FY23 −$33.6M
FY24 $35.0M

AAM screens 25% overvalued. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AA Mission Acquisition Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AAM

Peer Group

Shell Companies · 71 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −29% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 411% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Shell Companies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.83× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 100
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 0

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is AA Mission Acquisition Corp (AAM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0314 versus a price of $0.0420, about −25% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AAM?
Our model-based fair value for AA Mission Acquisition Corp is $0.0314 (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0420.
What is the quality score of AAM?
AA Mission Acquisition Corp has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of AAM?
The net profit margin of AA Mission Acquisition Corp is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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