Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp (TVACW) Fair Value & Analysis
US · Market cap $216M
Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp
TVACW · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $0.2700 to $0.4200 (+55.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −27.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 27% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.5200). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1099 – $2.08 · fair‑value band $0.3100 – $0.5200 · the $0.5719 price screens above the $0.4200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp (TVACW) currently trades at $0.5719, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4200, implying the stock looks roughly 26.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality). Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Our scenario range runs from $0.3100 (bear case) to $0.5200 (bull case); at $0.5719, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($0.4000) versus Earnings-Based ($0.0800). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
Notify me when TVACW reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp does not have significant operations. It focuses on effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses in any business or industry. The company was incorporated in 2024 and is based in Mountainside, New Jersey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was $5.9M in FY2025.
Watch TVACW: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Explore undervalued stocks
Frequently asked questions
Is Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp (TVACW) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of TVACW?
What is the quality score of TVACW?
What is the net profit margin of TVACW?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.