Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation $0.26, price $0.22, upside +17.6%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1099 – $2.08 · fair‑value band $0.1400 – $0.2600 · the $0.2211 price screens below the $0.2600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp does not have significant operations. It focuses on effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses in any business or industry. The company was incorporated in 2024 and is based in Mountainside, New Jersey.
Stock analysis
Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW) currently trades at $0.2211, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2600, implying the stock looks roughly 15.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.1500 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $0.2211 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0300, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.1400 (bear) to $0.2600 (bull), the price of $0.2211 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was $5.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $216M · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.2% · Free cash flow −$438K · Net cash $856K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 88% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financials peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at 18%, TVACW screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1400Fair Value $0.2600Bull $0.2600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.4/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Shell Companies · 80 stocks
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Is Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2600 versus a price of $0.2211, about +18% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TVACW?
Our model-based fair value for Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation is $0.2600 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2211.
What is the quality score of TVACW?
Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2600 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1400, optimistic scenario $0.2600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2600, about +18% upside versus a price of $0.2211 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.1400, optimistic scenario $0.2600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation it is $0.2600 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.2211. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TVACW trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.2211, fair value $0.2600, a gap of about +18% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TVACW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2211); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2600). For Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation the two are $0.0389 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation worth?
The market values Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation at about $216M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.2211; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TVACW?
Our models span a range for Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation: cautious scenario $0.1400, base $0.2600, optimistic $0.2600 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.2211). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is TVACW from its 52-week high?
Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation trades at $0.2211, about 88% below its 52-week high of $1.81 and at the low of $0.2210 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation?
From the same area (Financials) we also value Lionheart III Corp, AA Mission Acquisition Corp, Berto Acquisition Corp, Metals Acquisition Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.2211, calculated fair value $0.2600 (+18%), Quality Score 60/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TVACW calculated?
We run Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation currently trades 18 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.2211. Our model-based fair value is $0.2600, about +18% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation right now?
A fairly wide model range ($0.1400 to $0.2600) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW)?
The market capitalisation of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation is $216M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation is −5.2% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW) generate?
The free cash flow of Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation is −$438K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation (TVACW) hold?
Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation holds more cash than debt, $856K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026