Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A (AXIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A $1.71, price $10.35, upside -83.5%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $1.71 · Strongly overvalued (−83%)
!Quality 51/100
!Weak Growth(revenue 5y −9.5 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 155.5% net margin (FY2025)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers(4/6)
!Narrow moat6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
14‑month range $9.95 – $10.42 · fair‑value band $1.10 – $2.50 · the $10.35 price screens above the $1.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 focuses on effecting a merger, amalgamation, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses in the European infrastructure industry. The company was incorporated in 2025 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares (AXIN) currently trades at $10.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.71, implying the stock looks roughly 505.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.76 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the $10.35 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.9300, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $1.10 (bear) to $2.50 (bull), the price of $10.35 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $1.5M in FY2025 versus $3.4M in FY2019, a compound −12.9%/yr. Reported net income was $2.3M in FY2025, compounding +3.4%/yr from FY2019.
Key figures
Market cap $352M · Return on assets (EBIT) 1,975% · Free cash flow −$2.0M · Net debt $1.5M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at −83%, AXIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.10Fair Value $1.71Bull $2.50
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−61.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
’18
’19
’20
’21
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
32.4% (2020) → −169.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Shell Companies · 80 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/6 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Below median
Fair Value upside−84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)156% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Shell Companies median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AXIN
Frequently asked questions
Is Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A (AXIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.71 versus a price of $10.35, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AXIN?
Our model-based fair value for Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares is $1.71 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.35.
What is the quality score of AXIN?
Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A (AXIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.71 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.10, optimistic scenario $2.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.71, about −83% upside versus a price of $10.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.10, optimistic scenario $2.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A (AXIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares it is $1.71 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $10.35. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AXIN trades above its calculated fair value: price $10.35, fair value $1.71, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AXIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.71). For Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares the two are $8.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares at about $352M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $10.35; our models calculate a fair value of $1.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AXIN?
Our models span a range for Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $1.10, base $1.71, optimistic $2.50 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $10.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A (AXIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AXIN from its 52-week high?
Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares trades at $10.35, about 1% below its 52-week high of $10.42 and 4% above the low of $9.95 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Lionheart III Corp, AA Mission Acquisition Corp, Berto Acquisition Corp, Metals Acquisition Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $10.35, calculated fair value $1.71 (−83%), Quality Score 51/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AXIN calculated?
We run Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.71, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A (AXIN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $10.35. Our model-based fair value is $1.71, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($1.10 to $2.50) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares
How large is the market capitalisation of Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A (AXIN)?
The market capitalisation of Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares is $352M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A (AXIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares is 1,975% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A (AXIN) generate?
The free cash flow of Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares is −$2.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A (AXIN) carry?
The net debt of Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares is $1.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026