Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp (AXIN) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $352M
Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp
AXIN · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price −0.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 86% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
12‑month range $9.95 – $10.42 · fair‑value band $1.10 – $1.83 · the $10.27 price screens above the $1.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp (AXIN) currently trades at $10.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.46, implying the stock looks roughly 85.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Net debt stands at $1.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.10 (bear case) to $1.83 (bull case); at $10.27, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -86%, AXIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($2.66) versus Multiples ($1.46). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 focuses on effecting a merger, amalgamation, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses in the European infrastructure industry. The company was incorporated in 2025 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2019 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp reported revenue of $1.5M in FY2025 versus $3.4M in FY2019, a compound −12.9%/yr. Reported net income was $2.3M in FY2025, compounding +3.4%/yr from FY2019.
AXIN screens 86% overvalued. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →
Peer Group
Shell Companies · 71 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Shell Companies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company COLA | C$27.96 | C$10.91 | -61% |
| Lionheart III Corp LION | $13.47 | $18.15 | +35% |
| Agriculture & Natural Solutions Acquisition Corporation ANSC | $11.45 | $4.13 | -64% |
| AA Mission Acquisition Corp AAM | $0.0320 | $0.0314 | -2% |
| GP-Act III Acquisition Corp GPAT | $10.91 | $4.30 | -61% |
| Berto Acquisition Corp TACO | $10.48 | $2.73 | -74% |
| Bold Eagle Acquisition Corp BEAG | $10.67 | $4.00 | -63% |
| Lionheart Holdings CUB | $10.80 | $5.06 | -53% |
| Graf Global Corp GRAF | $10.82 | $3.63 | -66% |
| Translational Development Acquisition Corp TDAC | $10.74 | $4.28 | -60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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