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Autoscope Technologies Corporation (AATC) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $29.0M

AT Autoscope Technologies Corporation logo Autoscope Technologies Corporation AATC · US
Price$5.83
Fair Value$5.06
Upside-13.2%
Quality77/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
11.21% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range $3.79 – $6.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +9.8% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 13% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $3.79 (bear) to $6.32 (bull), base $5.06. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 77/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$7.72 $1.95 Fair Value $5.06 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.95 – $7.72 · fair‑value band $3.79 – $6.32 · the $5.83 price screens above the $5.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Autoscope Technologies Corporation (AATC) currently trades at $5.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.06, implying the stock looks roughly 13.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Autoscope Technologies Corporation generated revenue of $8.9M at a net margin of 15.1%. Revenue declined 3.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.0%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 21.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.79 (bear case) to $6.32 (bull case); at $5.83, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -13%, AATC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.00 $7.46 $9.63 80
Residual Income $1.61 $1.83 $2.88 76
Rev-Margin DCF $4.09 $5.45 $7.07 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $5.85 $7.40 $9.90 38
Owner Earnings $1.96 $2.51 $3.39 31
5Y Revenue Exit $4.09 $5.28 $7.00 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.84 $6.59 $8.89 41
5Y P/E Exit $4.41 $5.84 $7.57 38
10Y Revenue Exit $4.85 $5.71 $6.57 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.29 $6.40 $7.52 37
10Y P/E Exit $5.07 $6.01 $6.85 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.72 $2.10 $2.36 54
EPV $2.35 $2.65 $2.89 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.79 $5.06 $6.32 63
P/S Multiple $3.07 $4.09 $5.11 58
P/B Multiple $3.22 $4.30 $5.37 55
EV/EBIT $5.74 $7.69 $9.65 53
EV/EBITDA $4.61 $6.19 $7.77 54
EV/Revenue $2.73 $3.95 $5.18 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9300 $1.25 $1.86 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.00 $7.46 $9.63 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.09 $5.45 $7.07 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.61 $1.83 $2.88 76
ROIC Compounder $2.35 $2.71 $3.04 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.68 $3.83 $4.98 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($5.84) versus Asset-Based ($1.25). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $8.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.8%
Net margin 15.1%
Return on equity 13.0%
Free cash flow $4.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 21.0
More key figures
Operating margin 18.0%
EPS (TTM) $0.2500
Dividend yield 11.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -12.9%
Net debt $787K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Autoscope Technologies Corporation develops and markets video and radar processing products for use in intersection control, highway, bridge and tunnel traffic management, and traffic data collection applications in the Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and North America.

Full company description

Autoscope Technologies Corporation develops and markets video and radar processing products for use in intersection control, highway, bridge and tunnel traffic management, and traffic data collection applications in the Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and North America. The company provides Autoscope video systems that process video input from a traffic scene in real time and extracts the traffic data, including vehicle presence, bicycle presence/differentiation, counts, speed, length, time occupancy, turning movements, and flow rate; Autoscope Analytics a traffic safety platform that reduces traffic-related fatalities and injuries; Autoscope IntelliSight, offers detection algorithms with Artificial Intelligence (AI) and machine learning; and Autoscope Vision, flagship integrated product that includes a color high definition, zoom camera and machine vision processing computer contained in a compact housing. The company markets and sells its products to end users comprising federal, state, city, and county departments of transportation, port, highway, tunnel, and other transportation authorities, as well as system integrators or other suppliers of systems and services who are operating under subcontracts in connection with road construction contracts. Autoscope Technologies Corporation was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Autoscope Technologies Corporation reported revenue of $9.0M in FY2025 versus $13.2M in FY2021, a compound −9.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4M in FY2025, compounding −11.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.0M
Latest YoY
−33.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.9%
Revenue −9.2%/yr
FY21 $13.2M
FY22 $12.4M
FY23 $13.1M
FY24 $13.6M
FY25 $9.0M
Net income −11.7%/yr
FY21 $2.3M
FY22 $1.2M
FY23 $6.6M
FY24 $4.5M
FY25 $1.4M

AATC screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Autoscope Technologies Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AATC

Peer Group

Scientific & Technical Instruments · 161 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −13% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 11.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.83× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.25× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 6.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 11.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.90× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 16 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 52 · sector 25
HEALTH 93 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS $315.90 $84.16 -73%
Garmin Ltd GRMN $241.76 $146.67 -39%
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY $635.52 $367.58 -42%
Chroma ATE Inc 2360 1,905 TWD 286.15 TWD -85%
Hexagon AB HEXAB kr 80.10 kr 52.93 -34%
MKS Inc MKSI $324.69 $77.46 -76%
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 ¥52.91 ¥34.47 -35%
Fortive Corporation FTV $61.78 $33.84 -45%
Trimble Inc TRMB $52.72 $24.47 -54%
Cognex Corporation CGNX $64.07 $13.75 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Autoscope Technologies Corporation (AATC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.06 versus a price of $5.83, about −13% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AATC?
Our model-based fair value for Autoscope Technologies Corporation is $5.06 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.83.
What is the quality score of AATC?
Autoscope Technologies Corporation has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Autoscope Technologies Corporation (AATC)?
Autoscope Technologies Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AATC?
The net profit margin of Autoscope Technologies Corporation is about 15.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Autoscope Technologies Corporation pay a dividend?
Autoscope Technologies Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.21% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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