AAV (AAV) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · Market cap C$1.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated today
Share price +6.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range C$9.45 – C$12.69 · fair‑value band C$3.46 – C$5.75 · the C$10.89 price screens above the C$4.62 fair value. As of Jul 9, 2026.
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AAV (AAV) currently trades at C$10.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$4.62 — implying the stock looks roughly 57.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, AAV generated revenue of C$637M at a net margin of 17.5%. Revenue declined 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at C$863M. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$3.46 (bear case) to C$5.75 (bull case); at C$10.89, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside — at -58%, AAV screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AAV reported revenue of C$646M in FY2025 versus C$492M in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was C$53.1M in FY2025, compounding −40.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥30.54 | ¥28.25 | -7% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.70 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $45.52 | $70.50 | +55% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $132.83 | $162.51 | +22% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $56.93 | $21.36 | -62% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $187.80 | $242.64 | +29% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $45.99 | $29.51 | -36% |
| Woodside Energy Group WOPEF | $19.61 | $20.68 | +5% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $52.61 | $80.10 | +52% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $389.79 | $96.09 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.