Alphabet Inc (ABEC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Alphabet Inc €309, price €301, upside +2.6%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Alphabet Inc
ABEC · XETRANeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €81.09 – €343.29 · fair‑value band €187.60 – €599.10 · the €301.25 price screens below the €309.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
Alphabet Inc. offers various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments.
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Alphabet Inc. offers various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments. The Google Services segment provides products and services, including ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Gmail, Google Drive, Google Maps, Google Photos, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. It is also involved in the sale of apps and in-app purchases and digital content in Google Play and YouTube; and devices, as well as the provision of YouTube consumer subscription services, such as YouTube TV, YouTube Music and Premium, NFL Sunday Ticket, and Google One. The Google Cloud segment offers consumption-based fees and subscriptions for AI solutions, including AI infrastructure, Vertex AI platform, and Gemini enterprise. It also provides cybersecurity, and data and analytics services; Google Workspace that include cloud-based communication and collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Calendar, Gmail, Docs, Drive, and Meet; and other enterprise services. The Other Bets segment sells transportation and internet services. Alphabet Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
Stock analysis
Alphabet Inc (ABEC) currently trades at €301.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €309.16, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.6%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €302.96 per share, and 4 of the 26 models we run sit above the €301.25 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €105.59, and 22 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €187.60 (bear) to €599.10 (bull), the price of €301.25 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Alphabet Inc reported revenue of $403B in FY2025 versus $258B in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was $132B in FY2025, compounding +14.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €3.7T · P/E ratio 26.7 · P/S ratio 8.77 · EPS (TTM) €11.52 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 32.8% · Return on equity 38.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 22.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 3%, ABEC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Alphabet Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: German Stocks
- Valuation of the Germany market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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Key figures of Alphabet Inc
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